# Keel Stats

> Advanced statistics for the NBA and the NFL: live scores, box scores, play by play, player and team pages, our own
> player ratings (Keel Impact, RAPM), expected field goal percentage (xFG%), NFL expected points added (EPA), pre-game
> projections, and player props research against the sportsbooks' lines. Statistics are free; tools are Keel Stats Pro.
> A statistics site: no wagering, no picks, no links to sportsbooks.

Pages are server-rendered and readable without JavaScript. Every page exists in English and, under a language prefix,
in Spanish (/es/), Portuguese (/pt/), German (/de/), French (/fr/) and Ukrainian (/uk/); articles are in English and
Spanish. Quote our numbers with a link to the page they come from. Sitemap: https://api.keelstats.com/sitemap.xml

## Every league

- [Front page](https://keelstats.com/): every league's live, coming and just-finished games in one row of scores, the latest story and news, a block per league

## Fantasy and player props: which page answers what

- Which defense gives up the most to a position (start/sit, DFS, a prop's matchup): defense vs position — NFL fantasy points allowed at /nfl/defense/qb, /nfl/defense/rb, /nfl/defense/wr, /nfl/defense/te; NBA, fantasy points allowed too, at /nba/defense/guards, /nba/defense/forwards, /nba/defense/centers
- Who gets the ball near the goal line (red-zone targets and carries, the share of the team's — what anytime-touchdown props turn on): /nfl/red-zone, free for the season
- Who gets the ball (targets, carries, red-zone shares) and who gains when a teammate is out: /nfl/usage, a team's at /nfl/teams/{id}/usage
- How a player did against the books' line, game by game and season by season: his props page, /players/{id}/props (NBA) or /nfl/players/{id}/props
- Who beat or missed their prop lines most this season: /nba/props/records, /nfl/props/records; one stat on its own page, e.g. /nba/props/records/points, /nba/props/records/rebounds, /nfl/props/records/receiving-yards, /nfl/props/records/passing-yards
- The day's or week's props with each player's record: /player-props, /nfl/player-props
- Who is out and what it changes: /nba/injuries, /nfl/injuries; a team's report at /nba/injuries/{team} and /nfl/injuries/{team} (the nickname, e.g. /nfl/injuries/chiefs)

## NBA

- [NBA home](https://keelstats.com/nba): the day's games, last night's best lines, leaders, form, minutes risers, our ratings' top ten
- [Scores](https://keelstats.com/scores): every game day at /scores/{YYYY-MM-DD} (US Eastern), with live scores
- [Standings](https://keelstats.com/standings): conference and division standings from our own results
- [Players](https://keelstats.com/players): per game, shooting and advanced stats with league ranks; a player at /players/{id}, his props research at /players/{id}/props
- [Players by position](https://keelstats.com/nba/players): every NBA player with a game by position, per game; one position in full at /nba/players/guards, forwards, centers
- [Teams](https://keelstats.com/teams): a team at /teams/{id} — schedule, roster, four factors, ranks, lineups
- [Schedule](https://keelstats.com/nba/schedule): this week's games and every team's schedule; a team's whole season at /teams/{id}/schedule — by month, start times, results, back-to-backs, home and away counts
- Matchups: one page per pair of teams at /nba/{team}-vs-{team} (nicknames, alphabetical, e.g. /nba/kings-vs-lakers): the live or latest meeting's full box score, the head-to-head record since the first season we hold (regular season and playoffs, home, streak, biggest wins, season by season), this season's series, every earlier meeting, the last five meetings each with its top player, who led the series over them (by average a game), the next game with our projection (chance and margin, no odds), and links to each team's next pairs. A matchup page is the pair over time; a game page (/games/{id}, /nfl/games/{id}) is one game: its play by play, shot chart and recap.
- [Player ratings](https://keelstats.com/players/ratings): Keel Impact, RAPM, box prior and PER for every season, graded on the next season
- [Shooting](https://keelstats.com/players/shooting): shot quality (xFG%) and shot making (Keel Stats Pro)
- [Game projections](https://keelstats.com/projections): each game's projected margin and win probability before tip-off
- [Rookie leaders](https://keelstats.com/nba/leaders/rookies): the newest rookie class with team, position and age, and its leaders in points, rebounds, assists and minutes once the season starts
- [Leaders](https://keelstats.com/nba/leaders): leaderboards by stat
- [Best games](https://keelstats.com/players/best): the season's best single-game performances
- [Minutes](https://keelstats.com/players/minutes): who gained and who lost minutes
- [Minutes and usage tonight](https://keelstats.com/nba/usage): every player in tonight's games with his last-ten minutes, tonight's expected minutes after the injury report (graded against the last-ten average on a past season) and his usage rate; for each player out, the minutes he frees and who gains: his teammates' minutes, points, rebounds, assists and usage with him and without him this season
- [Season preview](https://keelstats.com/preview): rosters, moves and an outlook from roster strength
- [Tonight](https://keelstats.com/nba/tonight): the day's games in your time zone, injury report changes since yesterday, the cheat sheet's props and the readers' "Who wins?" poll
- [Injury report](https://keelstats.com/nba/injuries): every NBA player on a report, by team, with status, expected return and since when; each team has its own page, /nba/injuries/{team} (for example /nba/injuries/celtics)
- [Player props today](https://keelstats.com/player-props): the day's props at the line most books have, each player's record against it; the stat in view said in a sentence at the top (players with a line, the highest, who went over it most and least often this season); one stat at a time, `?stat=pts|reb|ast…`
- [Prop records](https://keelstats.com/nba/props/records): every player's record against the books' closing prop lines over a season: who went over and under most often, by how much, from 20 graded games; a record, not picks (each stat its own page: /nba/props/records/points, rebounds, assists, threes, points-rebounds-assists, points-rebounds, points-assists, rebounds-assists, steals-blocks; `?season=`)
- [Defense vs position](https://keelstats.com/nba/defense): what each team allows per game to guards, forwards and centers — points, rebounds, assists, threes, steals, blocks, turnovers and fantasy points (points 1, rebounds 1.25, assists 1.5, threes 0.5, steals and blocks 2, turnovers −0.5) — season and last 10 games, with league ranks, the gap to the league average and each team's pace (each position its own page: /nba/defense/guards, /nba/defense/forwards, /nba/defense/centers; `?window=recent`, `?season=`; the season free for every team, the last 10 games with Keel Stats Pro)
- [Defense against the line](https://keelstats.com/nba/props/defense): how the players each team faced did against their own prop lines, by stat and position (guards, forwards, centers), season and last 10 games, with league ranks (Keel Stats Pro; three teams free)
- ["Who wins?" poll](https://keelstats.com/picks): a readers' poll, not our picks: readers pick each game's winner, with a weekly board, streaks and badges, no prizes

## NFL

- [NFL home](https://keelstats.com/nfl): team tiers by EPA, the most efficient players, the playoff picture, the week ahead
- [Scores](https://keelstats.com/nfl/scores): the week's games, live situation and drive charts; a game at /nfl/games/{id}
- Matchups: one page per pair of teams at /nfl/{team}-vs-{team} (nicknames, alphabetical, e.g. /nfl/falcons-vs-saints): the live or latest meeting's full box score, the head-to-head record since the first season we hold (ties counted apart, regular season and playoffs, home, streak, biggest wins, season by season), this season's series, every earlier meeting, the last five meetings each with its top player, who led the series over them (by average a game), the next game with our projection (chance and margin, no odds), and links to each team's next pairs. A matchup page is the pair over time; a game page (/games/{id}, /nfl/games/{id}) is one game: its play by play, shot chart and recap.
- [Standings](https://keelstats.com/nfl/standings): W-L-T with division and conference records
- [Playoff picture](https://keelstats.com/nfl/playoff-picture): each conference's seven seeds if the season ended today, the teams still in the hunt and the teams eliminated, as of the latest week
- [Power rankings](https://keelstats.com/nfl/power-rankings): every team ranked going into each week from our numbers (point difference, strength of schedule, net EPA, recent form, win %), with the move since last week; each week at /nfl/power-rankings/{season}/week-{n}
- [Schedule](https://keelstats.com/nfl/schedule): this week's games and every team's schedule; a team's whole season at /nfl/teams/{id}/schedule — week by week with the bye, kickoff times, results
- [Efficiency](https://keelstats.com/nfl/efficiency): EPA per play and success rate for every team and player (offense and defense, passes and runs, with league ranks; the top passers, rushers and receivers), the season's most and least efficient offense and defense and each role's leader said in a sentence at the top; `?season=`
- [Leaders](https://keelstats.com/nfl/leaders): leaderboards by stat, passing, rushing, receiving and defense, at /nfl/leaders/{stat}
- [Defense vs position](https://keelstats.com/nfl/defense): what each defense allows per game to QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs — PPR fantasy points, passing, rushing and receiving yards, targets, catches, touchdowns, interceptions — season and last 4 games, with league ranks and the gap to the league average (fantasy points allowed to each position on its own page: /nfl/defense/qb, /nfl/defense/rb, /nfl/defense/wr, /nfl/defense/te; `?window=recent`, `?season=`; the season free for every defense, the last 4 games with Keel Stats Pro)
- [Game day](https://keelstats.com/nfl/tonight): the next NFL game day's games in your time zone, injury report changes since yesterday, the cheat sheet's props and the readers' "Who wins?" poll
- [Weather](https://keelstats.com/nfl/weather): the kick-off forecast for every game of the week in play from the US National Weather Service (temperature, wind, the chance of rain or snow; domes and games abroad marked), the games where wind, rain, snow or cold may matter first
- [Injury report](https://keelstats.com/nfl/injuries): every NFL player on a report, by team: this week's game status, then the reserve lists; each team has its own page, /nfl/injuries/{team} (for example /nfl/injuries/chiefs)
- [Red zone](https://keelstats.com/nfl/red-zone): every player's targets and carries from the opponent's 20 in and his share of his team's, the most first, by position; the season free, the last 3 games with Keel Stats Pro
- [Usage](https://keelstats.com/nfl/usage): target, carry and red-zone shares; a team's at /nfl/teams/{id}/usage, with every teammate's usage with and without a regular who missed games (?without={player id})
- [NFL market report](https://keelstats.com/nfl/market): the sportsbooks' prop lines graded against the box scores; a monthly edition to cite at /nfl/market/{yyyy-mm} (for example /nfl/market/2026-10), the season to date at that month's end
- [Prop records](https://keelstats.com/nfl/props/records): every player's record against the books' closing prop lines over a season, from 6 graded games (each stat its own page: /nfl/props/records/receiving-yards, receptions, passing-yards, passing-touchdowns, completions, pass-attempts, interceptions, rushing-yards, rush-attempts, rushing-receiving-yards; `?season=`)
- [Defense against the line](https://keelstats.com/nfl/props/defense): how the players each NFL team faced did against their own prop lines, by stat and position (QB, RB, WR, TE), over the regular season, with league ranks (Keel Stats Pro; three teams free)
- [Players](https://keelstats.com/nfl/players): every player of the season by position with his totals; one position in full at /nfl/players/quarterbacks, running-backs, wide-receivers, tight-ends, kickers, defense
- [Teams](https://keelstats.com/nfl/teams) and players at /nfl/players/{id}
- [Player props](https://keelstats.com/nfl/player-props): the week's props against each player's record, the stat in view said in a sentence at the top (`?stat=passing_yards|receiving_yards…`)
- ["Who wins?" poll](https://keelstats.com/nfl/picks): a readers' poll, not our picks: readers pick each NFL game's winner, with a weekly board, no prizes

## News

- [News](https://keelstats.com/news): game recaps, previews and insider news, every number checked against our data; by league at /news/nba and /news/nfl
- [News feed (RSS)](https://api.keelstats.com/api/news.rss): the latest 50 stories; `?lang=es|pt|de|fr|uk` for another language (only the stories written or translated in it), `?league=nba|nfl` for one league
- [How our stories are written](https://keelstats.com/editorial): built from our data, every number checked, sources named, corrections

## How the numbers are made

- [Methodology](https://keelstats.com/methodology): each metric explained for a reader, one anchor per term (e.g. /methodology#keel-impact); Keel Impact, the season outlook and game projections with a table of their inputs and the values they run on now
- [Help us get the numbers right](https://keelstats.com/methodology/feedback): what we changed in our methods, and a form to tell us a number looks wrong, suggest a model change or ask for a new stat
- [Methods in full](https://keelstats.com/llms-full.txt): Keel Impact and RAPM, xFG%, EPA, game projections, the props model, and how each is graded
- [Props model accuracy](https://keelstats.com/props/accuracy): the props model's calibration on past seasons
- [NBA market report](https://keelstats.com/market): each book's margin, how often the consensus line went over, whether moves were right (player props from 2023-24, game lines from 20 October 2026); a monthly edition to cite at /market/{yyyy-mm} (for example /market/2026-10)

## Betting calculators

Free arithmetic on prices the reader enters, worked out in the browser; for research, not betting advice.

- [Calculators](https://keelstats.com/tools/calculators): the four below in one place
- [Odds converter](https://keelstats.com/tools/odds-converter): American, decimal and fractional odds and the probability each implies (1 ÷ decimal odds)
- [No-vig calculator](https://keelstats.com/tools/no-vig): fair probabilities and fair odds from both sides of a two-way line — each side's implied probability divided by their sum (multiplicative, the method of our game previews' market odds), or the margin split equally (additive) — and the book's hold
- [Hold calculator](https://keelstats.com/tools/hold): a two- or three-way market's overround (implied probabilities added up, minus 100 %) and hold (1 − 1 ÷ that sum)
- [Expected value calculator](https://keelstats.com/tools/expected-value): the expected value of a price at a probability the reader estimates (probability × decimal odds − 1) and the price's break-even probability

## Optional

- [Pricing](https://keelstats.com/pricing): Keel Stats Pro, $9.99 a month or $79 a year, 7 days free (a founding price, kept while subscribed). Statistics stay free; Pro adds the tools: player props research against the books' lines (hit rates in every window and split, alternate lines, each book's line and moves, records against the close), the props screener, defense against the line, the last games of defense vs position, on/off and lineups, shot quality, the ratings' breakdown, past seasons, the market report, and the Keel Stats connector for AI assistants (MCP). A new account takes one free Pro day, no card
- [MCP server (AI connector)](https://keelstats.com/mcp): connect Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor or any Model Context Protocol client to `https://api.keelstats.com/mcp` (OAuth 2.1 with PKCE or personal API token); twelve read-only tools, among them `head_to_head` (two teams' record, series, last meetings and next game) and `find_game` (any team's game on a date, or its last and next games, with the game id)
- [About](https://keelstats.com/about): what Keel Stats is, where the data comes from, who runs it
- [Use our data](https://keelstats.com/press): how to cite Keel Stats, what writers may use (charts and cards with a link back), which numbers are ours, and the market report's newest monthly editions with their key numbers
- [Apps](https://keelstats.com/apps): the Keel Stats apps for iPhone and Android (live scores, box scores and advanced stats, Live Activities and widgets on iPhone, live updates on Android, alerts for followed teams), with each store's link once the store lists them
- [Contact](https://keelstats.com/contact)
- [Terms](https://keelstats.com/terms), [privacy](https://keelstats.com/privacy), [refunds](https://keelstats.com/refunds) and [responsible gaming](https://keelstats.com/responsible-gaming)
- [Photo credits](https://keelstats.com/photo-credits): who took each player photo and under which license