NBA news
Game recaps written from our numbers: win probability, EPA and the plays that decided it.
NBA · Season preview ·
The Bulls hand Josh Giddey a new cast and Norman Powell's scoring
Chicago won 31 games, let Nikola Vucevic and Coby White go and brings back 55% of its minutes. Our model sees about 30 wins: a reset, not a leap.
NBA · Season preview ·
Julius Randle gives Michael Porter Jr. a partner and the Nets a way up
Brooklyn went 20-62, added Randle and let Nicolas Claxton and Cam Thomas go. Our model sees about 30 wins: still near the bottom, but a real step up.
NBA · Signings ·
Report: Jalen Duren agrees to five-year deal with Detroit Pistons
Duren ranked 15th in Keel Impact in 2025-26 as Detroit posted the NBA's third-best net rating.
NBA · Returns ·
Report: Ben Simmons says he is back on the court
Simmons' most recent Keel Impact was -0.3 in 2024-25, while Sacramento finished 22-60 in 2025-26.
NBA · Season preview ·
The Kings move on from DeRozan and Westbrook and need Sabonis back on the floor
Sacramento won 22 games, let DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroder go and keeps 57% of its minutes. Our model sees about 27 wins: a little better, still near the bottom.
NBA · Extensions ·
Report: Raptors, Jamal Shead agree to three-year extension
Shead posted a 1.3 Keel Impact in 2025-26 as Toronto finished 46-36 with the NBA’s sixth-ranked defense.
NBA · Season preview ·
Anthony Davis joins the Wizards, but the climb starts from the very bottom
Washington went 17-65, lost CJ McCollum and added Davis and Deandre Ayton. Our model still has the Wizards last, at about 23 wins: better, not good yet.
NBA · Preview ·
Knicks’ efficient offense tests Philadelphia’s thin margin
New York’s elite shooting and rebounding meet a Philadelphia group that must protect the ball and find stops.
NBA · Signings ·
Report: Knicks bring in Tony Bradley, waive John Konchar
Bradley posted 4.1 points and 2.9 rebounds per game in 2025-26, while New York ranked fifth in net rating.
NBA · Releases ·
Ryan Nembhard clears waivers, becomes unrestricted free agent
Nembhard posted 5.3 assists per game for Dallas Mavericks in 2025-26, with a 0.7 Keel Impact.
NBA · Releases ·
Report: Grizzlies reportedly waiving D’Angelo Russell, per ESPN
Russell’s supplied 2025-26 regular-season line came with Washington Wizards, while Memphis finished 25-57.
NBA · Extensions ·
Report: Stephen Curry agrees to two-year Warriors extension
Curry ranked 27th in Keel Impact in 2025-26 while Golden State Warriors finished 37-45.
NBA · Trades ·
Report: Bulls trading Dillingham to Hornets for Hield, cash
Chicago is adding a more efficient 2025-26 scorer, while Charlotte is taking on a guard whose Keel Impact ranked near the bottom of the league.
NBA · Signings ·
Report: Jalen Duren's Media Day status requires signed deal
Duren ranked 21st in Keel Impact in 2025-26 as Detroit posted the NBA's third-ranked net rating.
NBA · Signings ·
Report: Blake Wesley is signing one-year deal with LA Clippers
Wesley averaged 4.8 points and 2 assists in 11.7 minutes per game for Portland in 2025-26.
