NBA Season previews: latest news
Game recaps written from our numbers: win probability, EPA and the plays that decided it.
Memphis hands the keys to Cedric Coward and hopes Zach Edey can stay on the floor
Memphis went 25-57 and let Jaren Jackson Jr. go to Utah. Jerami Grant arrives, 55% of the minutes return, and our model sees about 32 wins.

The Mavericks belong to Cooper Flagg now, and Kyrie Irving is the wild card
Dallas went 26-56 and said goodbye to Anthony Davis and Klay Thompson. Irving is on his way back, 62% of the minutes return, and our model sees about 32 wins.

Tyrese Haliburton is back, and 19-63 should look like a detour
Indiana won 19 games without its point guard. Haliburton returns, 72% of the minutes come back, and our model sees about 31 wins, a number his return could beat.

The Bulls hand Josh Giddey a new cast and Norman Powell's scoring
Chicago won 31 games, let Nikola Vucevic and Coby White go and brings back 55% of its minutes. Our model sees about 30 wins: a reset, not a leap.

Julius Randle gives Michael Porter Jr. a partner and the Nets a way up
Brooklyn went 20-62, added Randle and let Nicolas Claxton and Cam Thomas go. Our model sees about 30 wins: still near the bottom, but a real step up.

The Kings move on from DeRozan and Westbrook and need Sabonis back on the floor
Sacramento won 22 games, let DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroder go and keeps 57% of its minutes. Our model sees about 27 wins: a little better, still near the bottom.

Anthony Davis joins the Wizards, but the climb starts from the very bottom
Washington went 17-65, lost CJ McCollum and added Davis and Deandre Ayton. Our model still has the Wizards last, at about 23 wins: better, not good yet.
