NBA market report
How the sportsbooks' lines did against what happened: finished games only, the books' own lines (exchanges left out). Every number shows its sample and stays hidden until it has enough lines. A report on the market, not picks.
See the league's recordsSportsbook lines are shown as reference data. Keel Stats takes no bets and gives no picks. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible gaming
147,660 lines graded since October 21.
How the consensus line missed
The line most books closed on, against the box score: how often it went over, under or landed on the number. A player who did not play leaves his line ungraded.
Over rate by stat
| Points | 20,212 | 48.8% | 51.2% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pts + reb + ast | 20,033 | 48.8% | 51.2% | 0.0% | 49.9% |
| Rebounds | 19,741 | 48.3% | 51.7% | 0.0% | 49.5% |
| Pts + reb | 18,533 | 49.0% | 51.0% | 0.0% | 50.1% |
| Assists | 18,090 | 48.5% | 51.5% | 0.0% | 49.7% |
| Threes | 17,577 | 46.2% | 53.8% | 0.0% | 48.4% |
| Pts + ast | 16,935 | 49.3% | 50.7% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Reb + ast | 16,539 | 48.7% | 51.3% | 0.0% | 50.1% |
The books' margin
Each book's overround: both sides' implied chances at its closing prices, added up, less 100%. Lower is a fairer price. −110 on both sides is 4.8 points.
| Book | Moneyline | Spread | Total | Assists | Pts + ast | Pts + reb | Pts + reb + ast | Points | Reb + ast | Rebounds | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 7.1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 7.1 |
| BetOnline | 3.9 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 6.4 | – | – | 6.4 | 6.4 | – | 6.4 | 6.4 |
| BetRivers | 5.4 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 7.4 | – | – | 7.4 | 7.4 | – | 7.4 | 7.4 |
| BetUS | 3.9 | 4.8 | 4.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bovada | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 6.7 |
| Caesars | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 7.3 | – | – | – | 7.3 | – | 7.3 | 7.3 |
| DraftKings | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.7 |
| Fanatics | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 7.4 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| FanDuel | 4.0 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 6.1 |
| LowVig | 3.4 | 2.9 | 3.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MyBookie | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Over and under rates by line size, position, month and line move, the moves' record, and how fast lines react to injury news — with Pro
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