NFL market report
How the sportsbooks' lines did against what happened: finished games only, the books' own lines (exchanges left out). Every number shows its sample and stays hidden until it has enough lines. A report on the market, not picks.
See the league's recordsSportsbook lines are shown as reference data. Keel Stats takes no bets and gives no picks. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible gaming
2,137 lines graded since September 27.
How the consensus line missed
The line most books closed on, against the box score: how often it went over, under or landed on the number. A player who did not play leaves his line ungraded.
Over rate by stat
| Receiving yards | 550 | 51.3% | 48.7% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 544 | 48.7% | 51.3% | 0.0% | 49.0% |
| Rushing yards | 274 | 44.2% | 55.8% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Rush attempts | 172 | 172 lines, needs 200 | – | ||
| Rush + rec yards | 134 | 134 lines, needs 200 | – | ||
| Interceptions | 95 | 95 lines, needs 200 | – | ||
| Pass attempts | 92 | 92 lines, needs 200 | – | ||
| Completions | 92 | 92 lines, needs 200 | – | ||
| Passing TDs | 92 | 92 lines, needs 200 | – | ||
| Passing yards | 92 | 92 lines, needs 200 | – | ||
The books' margin
Each book's overround: both sides' implied chances at its closing prices, added up, less 100%. Lower is a fairer price. −110 on both sides is 4.8 points.
| Book | Moneyline | Spread | Total | Interceptions | Pass attempts | Completions | Passing TDs | Passing yards | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rush attempts | Rush + rec yards | Rushing yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 4.3 | 14 lines | 14 lines | 7.2 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| BetRivers | 4.8 | 14 lines | 14 lines | 7.2 | – | – | 7.1 | 7.1 | 7.2 | – | – | 7.2 | 7.2 |
| Caesars | 4.2 | 14 lines | 14 lines | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| DraftKings | 4.3 | 14 lines | 14 lines | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.7 |
| Fanatics | 4.6 | 14 lines | 14 lines | – | 7.9 | 7.9 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 8.2 | – | 8.1 |
| FanDuel | 4.0 | 14 lines | 14 lines | – | – | – | 6.5 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 7.0 | – | – | 6.1 |
Over and under rates by line size, position, month and line move, the moves' record, and how fast lines react to injury news — with Pro
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