Blazers' offensive rebounding meets Kings defense that allowed 119.1

The Portland Trail Blazers, second in the NBA in offensive rebounding last season, visit the Sacramento Kings on Friday, October 23, with a Sacramento defense that ranked 28th and two big men out. Tip-off is 10:00 PM ET.

All numbers here are from last season, with this season's rosters. Portland (42-40) grabbed 31.3% of its own misses, which gave second chances to a team with a 53.4 effective field goal percentage, 22nd in the league. Sacramento (22-60) allowed 119.1 points per 100 possessions, and its opponents shot 57.2% by that measure, 29th.

The Blazers also play fast and from deep: eighth in pace, third in three-point rate at 46.9%. Sacramento took the fewest threes in the league, a rate of 33.9%, and scored 109.3 points per 100 possessions, 26th.

Deni Avdija led Portland at 24.2 points a game. Donovan Clingan averaged 11.6 rebounds and 1.7 blocks, and Ja Morant handed out 8.1 assists in 20 games. For Sacramento, Zach LaVine scored 19.2 points a game.

Sacramento is thin inside. Dylan Cardwell, its leading rebounder at 7.5 a game, is out, and so is Maxime Raynaud, who played 26.6 minutes a game. Ben Simmons is also out. Malik Monk, who averaged three assists, is probable.

Portland is missing guard Shaedon Sharpe, center Branden Carlson and guard Chris Youngblood, all out. The Blazers opened this season with a 124-83 home win over Phoenix. Sacramento opened with a 96-121 loss at the LA Clippers.

Sportsbooks' prices give Portland a 78% chance to win. Keel's projection, built from the players available, puts it at 66%, with Portland ahead by 5.2 points.