Heat's shooting meets Clippers' league-worst turnover rate

The Miami Heat (2-5), owners of the NBA's second-fastest pace, visit the LA Clippers (1-6), who have lost six straight, on Wednesday night in a game that turns on the Clippers' league-worst turnover rate.

The Clippers turn it over on 17.2% of possessions, last in the league, and score 106.3 points per 100 possessions, 23rd. Every giveaway hands a fast team another run.

At 105.2 possessions a game, Miami shoots well on its trips: its 55.5 effective field goal percentage ranks fifth, while Los Angeles allows 56.9%, 27th in the league.

Defense is where the Heat struggle. They allow 117.7 points per 100 possessions, 26th, and opponents shoot an effective 58.3% against them, second worst. If the Clippers hold on to the ball, open looks wait.

Giannis Antetokounmpo carries Miami with 28.4 points and 12.1 rebounds a game, and he is probable. Davion Mitchell runs the offense at 7.9 assists, and Bam Adebayo's 2.3 steals a game target what Los Angeles does worst.

Darius Garland leads the Clippers with 20.1 points and 6.6 assists, but he also commits 5.4 turnovers a game. Kris Dunn averages 2.9 steals, the defense's best chance to speed Miami into mistakes of its own.

Los Angeles is short-handed. Brandon Ingram, who plays 33.8 minutes a game, is out, as is Bradley Beal; both are expected back Sunday, November 8. Jordan Miller is out with an expected return of Tuesday, March 2, and center Yanic Konan Niederhauser is also out. Myron Gardner is questionable for Miami.

The Clippers' skid includes a 103-87 home loss to the Lakers, and Miami comes in off a 138-117 loss to the same Lakers.

Tip-off is at 10:30 p.m. ET in Los Angeles. Sportsbooks' prices give Miami a 63% chance to win; Keel's projection puts it at 60%, with Miami 3.1 points better.