Heat visit 1-8 Kings in a matchup of two leaky NBA defenses

The Miami Heat (3-6), who allow the highest effective field goal percentage in the NBA, visit the Sacramento Kings (1-8) on Sunday night at 9 p.m. ET, with neither team able to stop the other's shooters.

Miami allows an effective field goal percentage of 58.5, worst in the league, and Sacramento sits 29th at 57.8. Both teams also push the pace: Miami ranks third and the Kings seventh, so open looks should come early at both ends.

The gap shows in the ratings. Miami's net rating of -6.2 ranks 22nd. Sacramento's -13.7 ranks 28th, and the Kings give up 120.1 points per 100 possessions, 29th in the league. They are also 29th in how often they send opponents to the free-throw line.

That matters against Giannis Antetokounmpo, who averages 27.3 points on 56.4% shooting and 12.6 rebounds. Davion Mitchell runs the offense with 8.1 assists a game, and Bam Adebayo leads the team with two steals.

Darius Acuff Jr. carries Sacramento's scoring at 25.2 points a game, though he shoots 40.2% from the field. Domantas Sabonis pulls down 14.6 rebounds against a Miami team that ranks 27th in offensive rebounding.

Sacramento's injury report is long. Keegan Murray, who plays 33.2 minutes a game, is questionable. Maxime Raynaud, the center at 26.6 minutes, is out, as are Ben Simmons, Jonathan Mogbo and Sean Pedulla. Miami is without center Vladislav Goldin and guard Tre Donaldson, both out.

Recent form favors neither side. Miami beat the Clippers 117-116, then lost 138-117 to the Lakers and 120-100 at Golden State. The Kings' only recent win came 115-100 at Dallas, and they have dropped their last two at home, the latest 124-109 to San Antonio.

Sportsbooks' prices give Miami a 77% chance to win. Keel's projection, built from the players available and blended with the market's view, has Miami at 74% and 4.5 points better.