NFL news
Game recaps written from our numbers: win probability, EPA and the plays that decided it.
Goff and Gibbs answer Jets rally in Lions’ 31-24 win
Detroit’s passing efficiency created the decisive response after New York erased a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit.

Jaguars’ 18-play march overwhelms Patriots, 35-6
Jacksonville protected a 14-3 halftime lead with three takeaways and a decisive edge in efficiency.

Fannin’s late touchdown lifts Browns over Panthers
Harold Fannin Jr. caught two touchdowns as Cleveland turned a late five-point deficit into a 21-18 win.

Steelers turn late field goal and fumble into win over Bengals
Pittsburgh survived Cincinnati’s efficient passing attack behind Aaron Rodgers, Jaylen Warren and a final defensive takeaway.

Colts turn a 36.2% chance into a 19-17 finish
Daniel Jones’ 20-yard completion set up the deciding kick after Houston briefly took control, while Indianapolis’ passing game supplied the edge.

Kain Medrano's pick-six lifts Commanders past Seahawks
Washington survived Seattle's passing surge by turning Sam Darnold's late interception into the game’s defining score.

Baker Mayfield has dislocated right thumb, Todd Bowles says
Mayfield has 615 passing yards through 3 games, while Tampa Bay ranks 30th in offensive EPA.

Cook's late touchdown sends Bills past Chargers
Buffalo overcame five turnovers with a fourth-quarter interception return, 176 rushing yards and two late touchdown drives.

Falcons ride run-game efficiency past Packers, 35-14
Bijan Robinson ran for 194 yards and 2 touchdowns as Atlanta finished with 498 passing and rushing yards.

Talanoa Hufanga’s pick-six lifts Broncos past Rams
Denver erased a 16-point halftime deficit, then Bo Nix finished a 14-play winning drive after Los Angeles answered late.

Raiders Turn Four Saints Turnovers Into 35-27 Rally
Las Vegas erased an 11-point deficit with two fourth-quarter touchdowns after New Orleans moved the ball but could not protect it.

Ravens answer Dallas with a 56-yard kick at the horn
Baltimore recovered from a late deficit behind Derrick Henry, Lamar Jackson and a final seven-second drive.

Purdy and Kittle deliver late as 49ers beat Cardinals 36-30
San Francisco’s passing game produced 0.62 EPA per play, and George Kittle’s late touchdown answered Arizona’s fourth-quarter push.

Vikings hold off Buccaneers behind late Reichard kicks
Minnesota's special teams struck early, then its defense and Will Reichard finished a 23-16 win in Tampa Bay.
