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Aaron Nesmith · props

Indiana PacersG-F

Oldest to newest: 9, 29, 12, 32, 14, 15, 5, 19, 14, 26

Next game

Indiana Pacers, record 3–7 at Dallas Mavericks, record 5–4, Mon 8:00 PM

Against the books’ closing line on points, Aaron Nesmith went 20–25 (over–under) in 2025-26. In 2024-25 he went 38–29 (over–under). His 2025-26 average on points is 13.8.

Average
17.5
L10
Median
14.5
L10

Shading shows how one-sided the rate is, over or under:60%+80%+95%+

Against the books’ line

20–25 (O–U)

44% over

2025-26 · 45 games at the consensus closing line

Points against the books’ line by season

Over–under at the line most sportsbooks closed on, each game he played; open a season for its games.

SeasonGamesOver–under–push% over
2026-2784–450%
2025-264520–2544%
2024-256738–2957%
2023-248843–4549%
See the league's records

ProNBA player props against the books: each game’s close and open, the books’ count, splits against the close; teams’ records against the spread and totals by situation is part of Keel Stats Pro

Points by game

OverUnderLine 13.5

010203040Line 13.5@ POR@ SACvs NYK@ MIL@ NYKvs POR@ SAS@ ORLvs LALvs LACMar
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Points book by book

ProNBA player props against the books: each game’s close and open, the books’ count, splits against the close; teams’ records against the spread and totals by situation is part of Keel Stats Pro

ProProps research: distribution, alternate lines, splits, the matchup is part of Keel Stats Pro

Games

DateOppResultMINPTSvs 13.5
vs LACL 113-114 (-1)35:0026 Over
vs LALL 130-137 (-7)32:0014 Over
@ ORLW 128-126 (+2)35:0019 Over
@ SASL 119-134 (-15)25:005 Under
vs PORL 119-127 (-8)26:0015 Over
@ NYKL 110-136 (-26)24:0014 Over
@ MILL 123-134 (-11)29:0032 Over
vs NYKL 92-101 (-9)34:0012 Under
@ SACL 109-114 (-5)35:0029 Over
@ PORL 111-131 (-20)25:009 Under

Sportsbook lines are shown as reference data. Keel Stats takes no bets and gives no picks. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible gaming