Orlando Magic at Miami Heat
Final/2OT
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
ORL 42%MIA 58%
- Expected margin
- MIA by 3.1
- Roster strength tonight
- ORL 0.0 · MIA 0.0
- Result: MIA by 6
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | +1.3 pts |
|---|---|
| Home court | +1.7 pts |
| Orlando Magic | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo BancheroF | 44 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 7-21 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -21 |
| Anthony BlackG | 42 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -12 |
| Franz WagnerF | 40 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 10-25 | 2-10 | 7-10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -8 |
| Wendell Carter Jr.F | 36 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -25 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-PopeG | 36 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -23 |
| Tristan Da SilvaF | 34 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +21 |
| Goga BitadzeC | 22 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +21 |
| Jonathan IsaacF | 18 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2 |
| Cole AnthonyG | 18 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +15 |
| Moritz WagnerC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jalen SuggsG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jett HowardG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Caleb HoustanG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Gary HarrisG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Mac McClungG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Cory JosephG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Trevelin QueenG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 290 | 119 | 47 | 32 | 45-98 | 14-39 | 15-25 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 19 | |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler HerroG | 48 | 30 | 8 | 12 | 12-28 | 4-15 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +10 |
| Nikola JovicF | 47 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 45 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +14 |
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 44 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +19 |
| Kel'el WareC | 43 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +15 |
| Terry RozierG | 23 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -12 |
| Haywood HighsmithF | 19 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -15 |
| Kevin LoveF-C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Jimmy ButlerG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dru SmithG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keshad JohnsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Isaiah StevensG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Josh RichardsonG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Alec BurksG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Josh ChristopherG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 290 | 125 | 43 | 34 | 48-92 | 15-41 | 14-21 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 21 | |