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Keel Stats

Which NFL defense allows the least EPA per play in 2026?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow the fewest expected points a play in the NFL in 2026 so far: −0.21 EPA, opponents successful on 43 of plays. The Minnesota Vikings (−0.17) and the Seattle Seahawks (−0.15) come next; the Dallas Cowboys allow the most (+0.07). Best against the pass: the Minnesota Vikings (−0.27 a play); best against the run: the Jacksonville Jaguars (−0.34).

Every defense by EPA a play allowed

Which NFL defense allows the least EPA per play in 2026?
#
1Tampa Bay Buccaneers−0.2143−0.17−0.26500
2Minnesota Vikings−0.1743−0.27−0.05470
3Seattle Seahawks−0.1543−0.20−0.08516
4Jacksonville Jaguars−0.1445+0.01−0.34447
5Pittsburgh Steelers−0.1247−0.06−0.23473
6Chicago Bears−0.1146−0.05−0.21452
7Green Bay Packers−0.1146−0.11−0.11565
8Cleveland Browns−0.0844−0.12−0.02550
9New York Giants−0.0746−0.13−0.01531
10Los Angeles Rams−0.0746−0.05−0.09522
11Kansas City Chiefs−0.0648+0.05−0.20487
12San Francisco 49ers−0.0446+0.01−0.11477
13Denver Broncos−0.0345+0.01−0.09599
14Buffalo Bills−0.0249+0.03−0.12486
15Houston Texans−0.0247+0.06−0.14498
16Carolina Panthers−0.0248+0.09−0.16501
17Washington Commanders−0.0251−0.01−0.02570
18Atlanta Falcons−0.0149+0.06−0.10561
19New England Patriots0.0049+0.08−0.11522
20Miami Dolphins+0.0153+0.31−0.28461
21Los Angeles Chargers+0.0148+0.09−0.07471
22New York Jets+0.0150+0.03−0.01560
23Cincinnati Bengals+0.02500.00+0.05475
24Detroit Lions+0.0251+0.06−0.05510
25Baltimore Ravens+0.0348+0.12−0.09537
26Philadelphia Eagles+0.0447+0.07−0.01584
27Las Vegas Raiders+0.0552+0.14−0.04550
28New Orleans Saints+0.0549+0.06+0.05508
29Indianapolis Colts+0.0548+0.10+0.01522
30Tennessee Titans+0.0652+0.15−0.06518
31Arizona Cardinals+0.0747+0.130.00522
32Dallas Cowboys+0.0749+0.05+0.10567

EPA a play allowed, from our own model: lower is better. Success: the share of opponents’ plays that added any. Regular season. How it is computed