Which NFL defense allows the least EPA per play in 2025?
The Seattle Seahawks allowed the fewest expected points a play in the NFL in 2025: −0.18 EPA, opponents successful on 43 of plays. The Houston Texans (−0.16) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (−0.13) came next; the Dallas Cowboys allowed the most (+0.16). Best against the pass: the Houston Texans (−0.25 a play); best against the run: the New Orleans Saints (−0.09).
Every defense by EPA a play allowed
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | −0.18 | 43 | −0.23 | −0.09 | 1048 |
| 2 |  | −0.16 | 42 | −0.25 | −0.03 | 979 |
| 3 |  | −0.13 | 46 | −0.17 | −0.05 | 1020 |
| 4 |  | −0.12 | 43 | −0.16 | −0.07 | 998 |
| 5 |  | −0.11 | 43 | −0.16 | −0.03 | 1070 |
| 6 |  | −0.11 | 46 | −0.17 | −0.05 | 1010 |
| 7 |  | −0.10 | 47 | −0.21 | +0.03 | 1057 |
| 8 |  | −0.08 | 48 | −0.14 | 0.00 | 958 |
| 9 |  | −0.08 | 46 | −0.11 | −0.04 | 954 |
| 10 |  | −0.07 | 47 | −0.10 | −0.03 | 1058 |
| 11 |  | −0.05 | 47 | −0.01 | −0.09 | 1035 |
| 12 |  | −0.03 | 46 | +0.01 | −0.08 | 982 |
| 13 |  | −0.02 | 49 | −0.07 | +0.04 | 1039 |
| 14 |  | −0.02 | 48 | −0.19 | +0.17 | 941 |
| 15 |  | −0.01 | 48 | −0.01 | −0.01 | 987 |
| 16 |  | 0.00 | 51 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 1027 |
| 17 |  | +0.01 | 47 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 1029 |
| 18 |  | +0.01 | 51 | −0.03 | +0.05 | 1023 |
| 19 |  | +0.01 | 48 | −0.01 | +0.03 | 1102 |
| 20 |  | +0.02 | 50 | +0.02 | +0.01 | 1107 |
| 21 |  | +0.03 | 49 | +0.07 | −0.02 | 1062 |
| 22 |  | +0.03 | 49 | +0.08 | −0.05 | 1072 |
| 23 |  | +0.04 | 49 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 1061 |
| 24 |  | +0.04 | 47 | +0.09 | −0.01 | 1014 |
| 25 |  | +0.04 | 49 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 1054 |
| 26 |  | +0.06 | 49 | +0.13 | −0.03 | 1007 |
| 27 |  | +0.06 | 50 | +0.07 | +0.06 | 1040 |
| 28 |  | +0.07 | 52 | +0.08 | +0.06 | 1013 |
| 29 |  | +0.07 | 50 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 1084 |
| 30 |  | +0.08 | 51 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 1075 |
| 31 |  | +0.10 | 49 | +0.16 | +0.04 | 1068 |
| 32 |  | +0.16 | 53 | +0.22 | +0.09 | 1043 |
EPA a play allowed, from our own model: lower is better. Success: the share of opponents’ plays that added any. Regular season. How it is computed