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Pelle Larsson · props

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Next game

Miami Heat, record 3–6 at Sacramento Kings, record 1–8, Sun 9:00 PM

Against the books’ closing line on points, Pelle Larsson is 5–4 (over–under) so far in 2026-27. In 2025-26 he went 33–34 (over–under). For today’s game against the Sacramento Kings, 6 sportsbooks price him on points; most have 11.5. He went over 11.5 in 5 of his last 9 games. His 2026-27 average on points is 11.1, below that line.

The books’ lines for his next game

at SAC · Sun 9:00 PM
Average
11.1
L10
Median
12.0
L10

Shading shows how one-sided the rate is, over or under:60%+80%+95%+

Against the books’ line

5–4 (O–U)

56% over

2026-27 · 9 games at the consensus closing line

Points against the books’ line by season

Over–under at the line most sportsbooks closed on, each game he played; open a season for its games.

SeasonGamesOver–under–push% over
2026-2795–456%
2025-266733–3449%
2024-25116–555%
See the league's records

ProNBA player props against the books: each game’s close and open, the books’ count, splits against the close; teams’ records against the spread and totals by situation is part of Keel Stats Pro

Points by game

OverUnderLine 11.5

05101520Line 11.5vs MINvs DET@ CHAvs DAL@ ATLvs IND@ LAL@ LAC@ GSWOctNov
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Points book by book

ProNBA player props against the books: each game’s close and open, the books’ count, splits against the close; teams’ records against the spread and totals by situation is part of Keel Stats Pro

ProProps research: distribution, alternate lines, splits, the matchup is part of Keel Stats Pro

Games

DateOppResultMINPTSvs 11.5
@ GSWL 100-120 (-20)29:2213 Over
@ LACW 117-116 (+1)35:267 Under
@ LALL 117-138 (-21)29:449 Under
vs INDW 145-125 (+20)23:3218 Over
@ ATLW 129-117 (+12)30:3717 Over
vs DALL 109-113 (-4)33:3212 Over
@ CHAL 110-115 (-5)36:0615 Over
vs DETL 111-128 (-17)29:177 Under
vs MINL 106-131 (-25)23:522 Under

Sportsbook lines are shown as reference data. Keel Stats takes no bets and gives no picks. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible gaming