Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks
Matchup preview
Last season: too early in this one to read much from it
Matchup odds
No moneylines yet.
Who wins?
Season leaders, per game
MIL
MIA27.6PointsMIL20.5
MIA10.0ReboundsMIL9.0
MIA6.5AssistsMIL7.4
MIA1.4StealsMIL2.2
MIA1.0BlocksMIL1.6
| MIA | Stat | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| 43–39 | Record | 32–50 |
| Offense | ||
| 2.2(better), 13th in the league | Net rating | 25th in the league, -6.2 |
| 114.5(better), 13th in the league | Offensive rating | 23rd in the league, 111.2 |
| 105.4, 1st in the league | Pace | 25th in the league, 99.1 |
| 54.2, 17th in the league | eFG% | 3rd in the league, 56.5(better) |
| 11.2(better), 4th in the league | TOV% | 28th in the league, 13.3 |
| 25.4(better), 17th in the league | OREB% | 30th in the league, 21.1 |
| 0.268(better), 14th in the league | FT rate | 29th in the league, 0.223 |
| Defense | ||
| 112.3(better), 14th in the league | Defensive rating | 27th in the league, 117.4 |
| 54.0(better), 8th in the league | Opp. eFG% | 25th in the league, 55.8 |
| 12.2(better), 17th in the league | Opp. TOV% | 25th in the league, 11.1 |
| 74.9(better), 8th in the league | DREB% | 17th in the league, 74.1 |
| 0.240(better), 4th in the league | Opp. FT rate | 21st in the league, 0.274 |
This season's meetings
They have not met this season.
Injury report
Miami Heat
- Bam AdebayoProbable· back Oct 1Cost -4.3 per 100
Report note
While Adebayo may sacrifice some scoring volume, Antetokounmpo's ability to collapse defenses should create more efficient scoring opportunities, and the duo projects to form one of the league's premier defensive frontcourts. Adebayo nursed a back issue to end the 2025-26 season, but he should be a full go for training camp.
- Giannis AntetokounmpoProbable· back Oct 1Cost -4.2 per 100
Report note
Antetokounmpo's absence wasn't due to restrictions from Miami, as Greece's federation indicated the decision was made as part of his preparation for the upcoming season. The 31-year-old will begin a new chapter with the Heat after being acquired from Milwaukee in a blockbuster trade this offseason.
- Myron GardnerQuestionable· back Oct 1Cost -0.5 per 100
Report note
Gardner's Summer League is over because of an ankle sprain he suffered in Friday's California Classic opener in San Francisco against the Spurs. The swingman is missing out on valuable reps as he competes for a rotation spot with the Heat, but he does have plenty of time to recuperate for training camp in the fall.
- Ryan ConwellQuestionable
Report note
Hip
Milwaukee Bucks
- Kevin Porter Jr.Questionable· back Oct 1Cost -2.8 per 100
Report note
Porter (knee) had a quality 2025-26 season from a statistical standpoint, averaging 17.4 points, 5.2 rebounds, 7.4 assists, 0.5 blocks and a career-high 2.2 steals across 33.2 minutes. However, the 26-year-old logged only 38 games and underwent arthroscopic surgery on his right knee in April. It's unknown when Porter will be cleared to suit up, though durability concerns could keep him on the bench regularly for the Bucks during the 2026-27 campaign, especially with Ryan Rollins and Tyler Herro in the equation. Still, if Porter stays healthy, he can provide valuable minutes for a team that no longer has Giannis Antetokounmpo on the roster.
- Tyler HerroQuestionable· back Oct 1Cost -1.7 per 100
Report note
Herro has spent his entire career with the Heat, averaging 19.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, 4.1 assists, 0.2 blocks, 0.7 steals and 38.2 percent shooting from deep across 32.5 minutes in 394 regular-season appearances. Without question, the 26-year-old is a capable scorer, though his defensive limitations can be a problem. Herro has also had issues staying healthy over the years, most recently logging only 33 regular-season games during the 2025-26 campaign. He underwent a minor foot procedure in April, but he should be ready to go for training camp. Herro is also set to hit free agency in 2027, assuming he can't work out a long-term agreement with the Bucks.
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Last 5 | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.4 | 20.1 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 18.0 / 10.0 / 5.8 | 4.2 | |
| 30.4 | 15.4 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 13.0 / 2.6 / 2.6 | -0.6 | |
| 28.9 | 27.6 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 27.0 / 8.0 / 5.2 | 4.8 | |
| 28.5 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 13.8 / 2.4 / 6.2 | 2.0 | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26.6 | 13.5 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 8.4 / 2.4 / 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Last 5 | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.2 | 17.4 | 5.2 | 7.4 | 13.4 / 5.4 / 5.6 | 1.9 | |
| 32.1 | 17.3 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 23.8 / 3.6 / 5.2 | 1.7 | |
| 31.2 | 20.5 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 16.4 / 5.2 / 5.6 | 0.4 | |
| 29.1 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 18.6 / 4.2 / 1.8 | -0.3 | |
| 28.3 | 15.4 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 20.8 / 3.2 / 4.8 | 0.8 |
Last five games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14 | Lost 126–127 | – | – | |
| Apr 12 | Won 143–117 | – | – | |
| Apr 10 | Won 140–117 | – | – | |
| Apr 9 | Lost 114–128 | – | – | |
| Apr 7 | Lost 95–121 | – | – |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12 | Lost 106–126 | – | – | |
| Apr 10 | Won 125–108 | – | – | |
| Apr 8 | Lost 111–137 | – | – | |
| Apr 7 | Lost 90–96 | – | – | |
| Apr 5 | Won 131–115 | – | – |
Standings
Full standingsMatchups by position
What each defense allows per game to guards, forwards and centers, against the league average. Rank 1 allows the most.
| Player | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 51.1 (lg 49.8) , 11th in the league | 14.5 (lg 13.6) , 7th in the league | 14.8 (lg 14.2) , 8th in the league |
| Forwards | 37.7 (lg 37.4) , 15th in the league | 15.5 (lg 15.3) , 12th in the league | 7.8 (lg 7.0) , 3rd in the league |
| Centers | 9.2 (lg 10.7) , 28th in the league | 6.8 (lg 7.5) , 26th in the league | 1.6 (lg 1.9) , 25th in the league |
| Player | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guards | 51.9 (lg 49.8) , 5th in the league | 15.4 (lg 13.6) , 1st in the league | 15.4 (lg 14.2) , 3rd in the league |
| Forwards | 38.8 (lg 37.4) , 8th in the league | 17.0 (lg 15.3) , 4th in the league | 7.1 (lg 7.0) , 17th in the league |
| Centers | 10.8 (lg 10.7) , 14th in the league | 7.6 (lg 7.5) , 13th in the league | 1.7 (lg 1.9) , 20th in the league |
The box score appears at tip-off.