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Latest meeting, Nov 9: WAS 111, DET 122

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards: preview and player stats

Regular season7:00 PM

Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards

Detroit Pistons
Washington Wizards

Capital One Arena · Washington, D.C., DC

Head to head: Pistons vs Wizards, series and next game

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Keel projection

How the projections do →

Made before tip-off from the players available and the season so far; frozen at tip-off.

DET 78%WAS 22%

The win chance is blended with the sportsbooks' (their margin removed) while our model learns; the margin and what moves it are the model's own.

Expected margin
DET by 11.4
What moves it (WAS)
Roster strength (Impact × minutes)-5.3 pts

5 more inputs with Pro

Pro

What moves DET at WAS, point by point — with Pro

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Matchup preview

This season before the game

Matchup odds

77DET
23WAS

Opened DET 76

From 10 sportsbooks’ moneylines with the vig removed: the market’s view, not a pick.

Prediction markets

  • Kalshi DET 79% +1.7 pts vs sportsbooks
  • Polymarket DET 79% +1.3 pts vs sportsbooks

Exchanges trade on their own money and take no vig; bold marks a gap of 2 points or more.

Keel projection, blended with the market: DET 78%How we project

Who wins?

DET

Season leaders, per game

WAS
The teams side by side: Detroit Pistons and Washington Wizards compared, with league ranks
DETStatWAS
7–3Record4–8
Offense
8.1(better), 5th in the leagueNet rating24th in the league, -5.9
112.3(better), 14th in the leagueOffensive rating26th in the league, 106.5
100.6, 23rd in the leaguePace19th in the league, 101.0
54.6(better), 12th in the leagueeFG%26th in the league, 51.0
12.5(better), 12th in the leagueTOV%15th in the league, 12.6
25.6(better), 19th in the leagueOREB%26th in the league, 23.9
0.275, 19th in the leagueFT rate14th in the league, 0.290(better)
Defense
104.2(better), 2nd in the leagueDefensive rating18th in the league, 112.3
49.7(better), 3rd in the leagueOpp. eFG%7th in the league, 51.3
14.8(better), 4th in the leagueOpp. TOV%26th in the league, 11.3
71.8(better), 22nd in the leagueDREB%26th in the league, 69.6
0.295, 19th in the leagueOpp. FT rate2nd in the league, 0.215(better)

This season's meetings

Injury report

Detroit Pistons

  • Jalen DurenOut· back Nov 24Report updated ·
    Report note

    Injury/Illness - Right Hamstring Strain (2026-11-12, DET@WAS). Prior reporting (2026-11-08): Duren (hamstring) has begun on-court activity and will be re-evaluated in two weeks, Hunter Patterson of The Athletic reports. Duren is progressing in his rehab after suffering a right hamstring strain Oct. 23, though he'll remain on the inactive list for at least the next two weeks while ramping up toward a return to game action. Paul Reed should continue to play a sizable role in Duren's stead.

  • Isaiah JoeOut· back Nov 17Report updated ·
    Report note

    Injury/Illness - Right Hip Contusion (2026-11-12, DET@WAS). Prior reporting (2026-11-09): Joe (hip) is out for Monday against the Wizards. Joe is missing a seventh consecutive contest with a bruised hip. His next chance to play comes Thursday in a road rematch with Washington.

  • Elijah HarklessQuestionableReport updated ·
    Report note

    G League - Two-Way (2026-11-12, DET@WAS).

  • Chaz LanierOutReport updated ·
    Report note

    G League - On Assignment (2026-11-12, DET@WAS).

  • Isaac JonesQuestionableReport updated ·
    Report note

    G League - Two-Way (2026-11-12, DET@WAS).

  • Ebuka OkorieOutReport updated ·
    Report note

    G League - On Assignment (2026-11-12, DET@WAS).

  • Ugonna OnyensoOut· back Nov 13Report updated ·
    Report note

    G League - Two-Way (2026-11-12, DET@WAS). Prior reporting (2026-11-11): Onyenso agreed to a two-way contract with the Pistons on Thursday. The No. 53 overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, Onyenso appears poised to see run in the G League after putting pen to paper on a two-way deal. He'll likely face an uphill battle to carve out a role in the rotation, so Detroit will presumably allow him to continue his development with Motor City.

Washington Wizards

  • Jamir WatkinsOut· back Apr 2
    Report note

    The Wizards announced Thursday that Watkins has undergone surgery for a torn ACL. Watkins, a two-way player for the Wizards, suffered the injury during the Summer League. Although Washington has yet to offer a timetable for a return, a typical recovery time for the procedure is approximately 9-to-12 months. That leaves Watkins in serious jeopardy of missing most, if not all, of the 2026-27 season, and it remains to be seen if the team will continue keeping him around on a two-way roster spot while he's injured.

  • Justin ChampagnieOut· back Feb 25Report updated ·
    Report note

    Champagnie (foot) is expected to miss several months, per Josh Robbins of The Athletic. The forward underwent surgery Wednesday to address a fractured foot, and the Wizards hope Champagnie will be ready to return at some time around the All-Star break in February. The likes of Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson and Bub Carrington will all be asked to help pick up the slack for the foreseeable future.

  • Tristan VukcevicOut· back Nov 16
    Report note

    Vukcevic (hip) has been ruled out for Monday's game against Detroit. Vukcevic has yet to make his season debut due to a left hip impingement. The big man can be viewed as week-to-week until the Wizards provide an update on his progress.

  • Reece BeekmanOut· back Dec 3Report updated ·
    Report note

    The Wizards announced Monday that Beekman sustained a right acromioclavicular joint injury and will be re-evaluated in approximately three weeks. Beekman is set for an extended absence, with his re-evaluation timeline suggesting he could remain sidelined beyond the initial three-week window. The injury further limits Washington's backcourt depth, though Beekman's absence is unlikely to have a significant impact on standard fantasy leagues.

Key players · DET: Detroit Pistons key players: season averages and the last 5 games
PlayerMINPTSREBAST
Cade Cunningham33.122.35.27.6
Duncan Robinson30.718.61.82.3
Ausar Thompson27.29.38.44.3
John Collins26.510.76.10.8
Daniss Jenkins26.012.73.64.7
Key players · WAS: Washington Wizards key players: season averages and the last 5 games
PlayerMINPTSREBAST
Trae Young35.318.33.38.3
KyShawn George33.718.54.84.8
Anthony Davis33.225.210.01.7
AJ Dybantsa32.616.36.12.1
Bilal Coulibaly25.77.03.80.8

Last five games

Detroit Pistons: Detroit Pistons: last five games
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
Nov 9 vs WASWon 122–111−9.5, covered218.5, went over
Nov 8 vs LALLost 116–121−7.5, did not cover217.5, went over
Nov 4 vs PHILost 106–112−2.5, did not cover219.5, went under
Nov 2 @ CHAWon 124–91−5.5, covered209.5, went over
Oct 30 @ BKNWon 110–94−8.5, covered221.5, went under
Washington Wizards: Washington Wizards: last five games
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
Nov 11 @ INDLost 101–114+3.5, did not cover227.5, went under
Nov 9 @ DETLost 111–122+9.5, did not cover218.5, went over
Nov 7 @ OKCLost 75–114+12.5, did not cover224.5, went under
Nov 6 @ ATLLost 132–139+8.5, covered228.5, went over
Nov 4 vs ATLLost 105–120+2.5, did not cover229.5, went under

Standings

Full standings
Eastern Conference
Team
1BOS102.833–9-1
2PHI93.75017-3
3DET73.70027-3
4ATL75.58335-5
5NYK65.5453.56-4
10ORL47.3645.54-6
11IND48.33363-7
12WAS48.33363-7
13BKN38.2736.53-7
14CHI19.10081-9
Pro

What each absence costs in Keel Impact, the key players’ last five games, each defense by position and both teams against the line — with Pro

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Player props

Each player at the line most sportsbooks have, and how often he went over it.

All player props
Last 10 vs line oldest → latest
Ausar ThompsonDET @ WAS 10.556% 9 games60%56%56%9.327.6 minutes and 8.6 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 11, 4, 11, 7, 11, 14, 11, 7, 8
Duncan RobinsonDET @ WAS 15.570% 10 games80%70%70%18.631.3 minutes and 11.4 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 21, 17, 21, 12, 13, 17, 24, 27, 12, 22
John CollinsDET @ WAS 12.540% 10 games40%40%40%10.726.2 minutes and 7.8 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 6, 23, 16, 2, 4, 4, 4, 16, 8, 24
Kevin HuerterDET @ WAS 8.540% 10 games60%40%40%8.826.2 minutes and 9.4 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 3, 5, 9, 7, 3, 8, 9, 8, 24, 12
KyShawn GeorgeWAS vs DET 14.558% 12 games60%60%58%18.535.6 minutes and 16.2 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 22, 20, 8, 12, 22, 25, 33, 14, 12, 25
Paul ReedDET @ WAS 10.550% 10 games40%50%50%11.425.8 minutes and 8.6 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 6, 19, 8, 22, 16, 12, 11, 8, 8, 4
AJ DybantsaWAS vs DET 16.563% 8 games40%63%63%16.334.2 minutes and 14.4 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 19, 17, 21, 9, 11, 19, 21, 13
Alexandre SarrWAS vs DET 9.555% 11 games60%60%55%9.526.0 minutes and 8.8 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 7, 10, 12, 18, 3, 11, 13, 15, 4, 5
Anthony DavisWAS vs DET 22.560% 10 games80%60%60%25.233.2 minutes and 19.0 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 34, 9, 19, 29, 18, 25, 27, 26, 44, 21
Trae YoungWAS vs DET 16.567% 12 games60%60%67%18.334.3 minutes and 12.2 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 25, 22, 14, 21, 15, 18, 23, 4, 20, 15
Tre JohnsonWAS vs DET 7.546% 11 games40%40%46%9.425.5 minutes and 11.6 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 20, 13, 7, 4, 4, 3, 23, 4, 2, 15
Cade CunninghamDET @ WAS 24.540% 10 games40%40%40%22.331.8 minutes and 17.6 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 22, 16, 26, 19, 30, 20, 33, 26, 14, 17
Daniss JenkinsDET @ WAS 13.550% 10 games40%50%50%12.727.2 minutes and 10.2 shots a game, last 5 gamesOldest to newest: 3, 15, 18, 11, 14, 6, 2, 5, 31, 22
Pro

His record against tonight’s opponent, the starters out tonight and the market’s chance of the over for every prop — with Pro

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Shading shows how one-sided the rate is, over or under:60%+80%+95%+

Line: the one most sportsbooks have. Over: how often he beat today’s line in his games — the season, his last 5, 10 and 20 — not each game’s own line (last season’s games until he has three this season). Pro adds his record against tonight’s opponent at today’s line over every season we hold, the starters on his team out tonight by the injury report, and the market’s chance of the over, with the margin taken out.

Popular props

Every stat at once: the props the most sportsbooks price, and the ones whose line moved furthest since it opened.

Most priced

  1. Paul ReedRebounds · DET @ WAS7.56 books
  2. Cade CunninghamPoints · DET @ WAS24.55 books
  3. Duncan RobinsonPoints · DET @ WAS15.55 books
  4. KyShawn GeorgePoints · WAS vs DET14.55 books
  5. Daniss JenkinsPoints · DET @ WAS13.55 books

Most moved

  1. Daniss JenkinsPts + ast · DET @ WAS19.52 books
  2. Daniss JenkinsReb + ast · DET @ WAS8.52 books
  3. Paul ReedPoints · DET @ WAS10.55 books
  4. Paul ReedPts + ast · DET @ WAS12.52 books
  5. Alexandre SarrPts + reb · WAS vs DET16.52 books
How far each line moved, and how it went, with Pro

Sportsbooks only, at the line most of them have now. A move is measured for the size of the line, as on the cheat sheet. Trends from the market, not picks.

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Sportsbook lines are shown as reference data. Keel Stats takes no bets and gives no picks. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible gaming

The box score appears at tip-off.

Detroit Pistons

Washington Wizards

Season series

DET 1, WAS 0
  1. Nov 9Washington Wizards 111, Detroit Pistons 122
  2. Nov 12 · this gameDetroit Pistons at Washington Wizards
  3. Apr 11Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards

Before and after

Detroit Pistons
Washington Wizards

This week’s games

NBA schedule: every team