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Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards

7:00 PM

Matchup preview

Last season: too early in this one to read much from it

Matchup odds

32MIL
68WAS

Opened WAS 68

From 6 sportsbooks’ moneylines with the vig removed: the market’s view, not a pick.

Who wins?

MIL

Season leaders, per game

WAS
The teams side by side: Milwaukee Bucks and Washington Wizards compared, with league ranks
MILStatWAS
32–50Record17–65
Offense
-6.2(better), 25th in the leagueNet rating30th in the league, -11.5
111.2(better), 23rd in the leagueOffensive rating29th in the league, 108.8
99.1, 25th in the leaguePace6th in the league, 103.4
56.5(better), 3rd in the leagueeFG%21st in the league, 53.5
13.3, 28th in the leagueTOV%26th in the league, 13.2(better)
21.1, 30th in the leagueOREB%21st in the league, 24.1(better)
0.223, 29th in the leagueFT rate26th in the league, 0.235(better)
Defense
117.4(better), 27th in the leagueDefensive rating30th in the league, 120.3
55.8(better), 25th in the leagueOpp. eFG%27th in the league, 56.3
11.1, 25th in the leagueOpp. TOV%24th in the league, 11.2(better)
74.1(better), 17th in the leagueDREB%30th in the league, 70.2
0.274(better), 21st in the leagueOpp. FT rate28th in the league, 0.292

This season's meetings

They have not met this season.

Injury report

Milwaukee Bucks

  • Kevin Porter Jr.Questionable· back Oct 1
    Report note

    Porter (knee) had a quality 2025-26 season from a statistical standpoint, averaging 17.4 points, 5.2 rebounds, 7.4 assists, 0.5 blocks and a career-high 2.2 steals across 33.2 minutes. However, the 26-year-old logged only 38 games and underwent arthroscopic surgery on his right knee in April. It's unknown when Porter will be cleared to suit up, though durability concerns could keep him on the bench regularly for the Bucks during the 2026-27 campaign, especially with Ryan Rollins and Tyler Herro in the equation. Still, if Porter stays healthy, he can provide valuable minutes for a team that no longer has Giannis Antetokounmpo on the roster.

    Cost -2.8 per 100
  • Tyler HerroQuestionable· back Oct 1
    Report note

    Herro has spent his entire career with the Heat, averaging 19.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, 4.1 assists, 0.2 blocks, 0.7 steals and 38.2 percent shooting from deep across 32.5 minutes in 394 regular-season appearances. Without question, the 26-year-old is a capable scorer, though his defensive limitations can be a problem. Herro has also had issues staying healthy over the years, most recently logging only 33 regular-season games during the 2025-26 campaign. He underwent a minor foot procedure in April, but he should be ready to go for training camp. Herro is also set to hit free agency in 2027, assuming he can't work out a long-term agreement with the Bucks.

    Cost -1.7 per 100

Washington Wizards

  • Anthony DavisProbable· back Oct 1
    Report note

    Davis was limited to only 20 regular-season appearances with Dallas last season due to health issues, but Dawkins said the 10-time All-Star is currently in a "great frame of mind." Washington also views Davis as a starting-caliber center in a revamped frontcourt featuring Alex Sarr and Deandre Ayton. Davis and the Wizards reportedly postponed contract extension discussions earlier this offseason, but Dawkins declined to specifically address those talks Thursday.

    Cost -2.2 per 100
  • Alexandre SarrQuestionable· back Oct 1
    Report note

    General manager Will Dawkins said Thursday that Sarr is expected to be ready for the start of the regular season, so the limited workload to begin camp appears precautionary. Sarr underwent surgery in mid-June, and his progress during the preseason will be worth monitoring, but there currently doesn't appear to be significant concern about his availability for Opening Night.

    Cost -1.6 per 100
  • Trae YoungProbable· back Oct 1
    Report note

    With Young limited to 15 regular-season appearances in 2025-26 due to injuries, any sign of offseason rehab progress is notable. This report points to active conditioning work after his quadriceps issue, though it does not provide a return timeline or formal clearance update ahead of training camp for Washington.

    Cost -1.4 per 100
  • Jamir WatkinsOut· back Apr 1
    Report note

    Watkins, a two-way player for the Wizards, suffered the injury during the Summer League. Although Washington has yet to offer a timetable for a return, a typical recovery time for the procedure is approximately 9-to-12 months. That leaves Watkins in serious jeopardy of missing most, if not all, of the 2026-27 season, and it remains to be seen if the team will continue keeping him around on a two-way roster spot while he's injured.

    Cost -1.0 per 100
Key players · MIL: Milwaukee Bucks key players: season averages and the last 5 games
PlayerMINPTSREBASTLast 5Impact
Kevin Porter Jr.33.217.45.27.413.4 / 5.4 / 5.61.9
Ryan Rollins32.117.34.65.623.8 / 3.6 / 5.21.7
Tyler Herro31.220.54.84.116.4 / 5.2 / 5.60.4
A.J. Green29.110.42.71.918.6 / 4.2 / 1.8-0.3
Jaime Jaquez Jr.28.315.45.04.720.8 / 3.2 / 4.80.8
Key players · WAS: Washington Wizards key players: season averages and the last 5 games
PlayerMINPTSREBASTLast 5Impact
Anthony Davis31.320.411.12.816.4 / 10.0 / 2.21.2
KyShawn George29.014.85.14.512.0 / 2.2 / 1.4-0.9
Carlton Carrington27.710.73.44.617.8 / 2.2 / 5.4-5.0
Deandre Ayton27.212.58.00.813.8 / 5.4 / 0.6-0.7
Alexandre Sarr27.216.37.42.78.8 / 5.2 / 2.60.6

Last five games

Milwaukee Bucks: Milwaukee Bucks: last five games
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
Apr 12 @ PHILost 106–126––
Apr 10 vs BKNWon 125–108––
Apr 8 @ DETLost 111–137––
Apr 7 @ BKNLost 90–96––
Apr 5 vs MEMWon 131–115––
Washington Wizards: Washington Wizards: last five games
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
Apr 12 @ CLELost 117–130––
Apr 10 vs MIALost 117–140––
Apr 9 vs CHILost 108–119––
Apr 7 vs CHILost 98–129––
Apr 5 @ BKNLost 115–121––
Eastern Conference
#TeamWLPCTGBL10
9CHA4438.537166-4
10MIA4339.524175-5
11MIL3250.390283-7
12CHI3151.378292-8
13BKN2062.244403-7
14IND1963.232413-7
15WAS1765.207430-10

Matchups by position

What each defense allows per game to guards, forwards and centers, against the league average. Rank 1 allows the most.

MIL attack against WAS defense
PlayerPTSREBAST
Guards53.2 (lg 49.8) , 3rd in the league14.4 (lg 13.6) , 8th in the league16.2 (lg 14.2) , 1st in the league
Forwards40.5 (lg 37.4) , 3rd in the league17.1 (lg 15.3) , 3rd in the league7.7 (lg 7.0) , 6th in the league
Centers11.4 (lg 10.7) , 9th in the league8.1 (lg 7.5) , 6th in the league1.8 (lg 1.9) , 17th in the league
WAS attack against MIL defense
PlayerPTSREBAST
Guards51.1 (lg 49.8) , 11th in the league14.5 (lg 13.6) , 7th in the league14.8 (lg 14.2) , 8th in the league
Forwards37.7 (lg 37.4) , 15th in the league15.5 (lg 15.3) , 12th in the league7.8 (lg 7.0) , 3rd in the league
Centers9.2 (lg 10.7) , 28th in the league6.8 (lg 7.5) , 26th in the league1.6 (lg 1.9) , 25th in the league

The box score appears at tip-off.