Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
ATL 44%MIA 56%
- Expected margin
- MIA by 2.1
- Roster strength tonight
- ATL 0.0 · MIA 0.0
- Result: MIA by 22
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | +0.4 pts |
|---|---|
| Home court | +1.7 pts |
| Atlanta Hawks | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae YoungG | 36 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -11 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 33 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -6 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF-C | 32 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -3 |
| Caris LeVertG | 32 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -9 |
| Terance MannG | 29 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -18 |
| Zaccharie RisacherF | 26 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -18 |
| Georges NiangF | 24 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -19 |
| Clint CapelaC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -19 |
| Mouhamed GueyeF | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 |
| Larry Nance Jr.F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Vit KrejciG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jalen JohnsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keaton WallaceG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dominick BarlowF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Daeqwon PlowdenG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Garrison MathewsG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kobe BufkinG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 109 | 33 | 29 | 41-81 | 12-32 | 15-19 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 15 | |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion MitchellG | 37 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 7-8 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +11 |
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 35 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +16 |
| Tyler HerroG | 34 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +9 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 33 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 9-16 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +27 |
| Andrew WigginsF-G | 29 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +9 |
| Kel'el WareC | 29 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +8 |
| Haywood HighsmithF | 27 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +31 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +3 |
| Alec BurksG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Kyle AndersonF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terry RozierG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dru SmithG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Nikola JovicF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keshad JohnsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kevin LoveF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Isaiah StevensG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Josh ChristopherG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 131 | 35 | 39 | 45-76 | 23-42 | 18-22 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 13 | |