Which NFL defense allows the least EPA per play in 2024?
The Denver Broncos allowed the fewest expected points a play in the NFL in 2024: −0.13 EPA, opponents successful on 46 of plays. The Minnesota Vikings (−0.10) and the Philadelphia Eagles (−0.09) came next; the Carolina Panthers allowed the most (+0.13). Best against the pass: the Denver Broncos (−0.15 a play); best against the run: the Baltimore Ravens (−0.18).
Every defense by EPA a play allowed
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | −0.13 | 46 | −0.15 | −0.10 | 1099 |
| 2 |  | −0.10 | 48 | −0.11 | −0.08 | 1003 |
| 3 |  | −0.09 | 47 | −0.07 | −0.12 | 995 |
| 4 |  | −0.09 | 49 | −0.09 | −0.09 | 990 |
| 5 |  | −0.08 | 50 | −0.04 | −0.14 | 1039 |
| 6 |  | −0.07 | 47 | −0.04 | −0.11 | 1048 |
| 7 |  | −0.07 | 48 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 998 |
| 8 |  | −0.06 | 51 | −0.03 | −0.11 | 1035 |
| 9 |  | −0.06 | 49 | −0.04 | −0.07 | 995 |
| 10 |  | −0.06 | 48 | 0.00 | −0.12 | 1041 |
| 11 |  | −0.04 | 50 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 1024 |
| 12 |  | −0.04 | 49 | −0.05 | 0.00 | 1041 |
| 13 |  | −0.02 | 48 | +0.03 | −0.08 | 1041 |
| 14 |  | −0.01 | 52 | +0.01 | −0.06 | 1071 |
| 15 |  | 0.00 | 52 | −0.07 | +0.09 | 1135 |
| 16 |  | 0.00 | 49 | +0.09 | −0.09 | 1115 |
| 17 |  | +0.01 | 51 | +0.01 | +0.01 | 1027 |
| 18 |  | +0.01 | 51 | −0.03 | +0.05 | 1089 |
| 19 |  | +0.01 | 50 | +0.03 | −0.02 | 1035 |
| 20 |  | +0.01 | 51 | +0.05 | −0.05 | 993 |
| 21 |  | +0.01 | 49 | +0.09 | −0.10 | 1017 |
| 22 |  | +0.01 | 50 | +0.11 | −0.10 | 1058 |
| 23 |  | +0.01 | 49 | +0.09 | −0.08 | 1090 |
| 24 |  | +0.01 | 49 | +0.07 | −0.04 | 1014 |
| 25 |  | +0.01 | 52 | +0.02 | +0.01 | 929 |
| 26 |  | +0.02 | 52 | +0.08 | −0.04 | 1075 |
| 27 |  | +0.02 | 51 | +0.05 | −0.01 | 918 |
| 28 |  | +0.03 | 53 | +0.08 | −0.04 | 1037 |
| 29 |  | +0.03 | 50 | +0.07 | −0.03 | 1072 |
| 30 |  | +0.04 | 52 | +0.08 | −0.03 | 1066 |
| 31 |  | +0.07 | 53 | +0.16 | −0.05 | 1152 |
| 32 |  | +0.13 | 56 | +0.20 | +0.07 | 1175 |
EPA a play allowed, from our own model: lower is better. Success: the share of opponents’ plays that added any. Regular season. How it is computed