Which NFL offense is the most efficient in 2024?
The Detroit Lions ran the NFL’s most efficient offense in 2024: +0.16 EPA a play, 55 of plays successful. The Baltimore Ravens (+0.15) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+0.11) came next; the Cleveland Browns were last (−0.27). Best passing offense: the Detroit Lions (+0.32 a play); best running offense: the Baltimore Ravens (+0.11).
Every offense by EPA a play
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +0.16 | 55 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 1115 | |
| 2 | +0.15 | 54 | +0.19 | +0.11 | 1006 | |
| 3 | +0.11 | 55 | +0.15 | +0.07 | 1092 | |
| 4 | +0.11 | 54 | +0.14 | +0.07 | 1118 | |
| 5 | +0.09 | 51 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 976 | |
| 6 | +0.07 | 51 | +0.16 | −0.02 | 1045 | |
| 7 | +0.06 | 49 | +0.10 | +0.03 | 1115 | |
| 8 | +0.06 | 54 | +0.19 | −0.18 | 1077 | |
| 9 | +0.04 | 52 | +0.01 | +0.08 | 1039 | |
| 10 | +0.03 | 53 | +0.04 | +0.01 | 1122 | |
| 11 | +0.03 | 49 | +0.11 | −0.07 | 966 | |
| 12 | +0.02 | 53 | +0.08 | −0.06 | 903 | |
| 13 | +0.01 | 53 | −0.03 | +0.06 | 1096 | |
| 14 | 0.00 | 51 | +0.11 | −0.13 | 1016 | |
| 15 | 0.00 | 51 | +0.07 | −0.11 | 1057 | |
| 16 | −0.01 | 48 | +0.05 | −0.09 | 1072 | |
| 17 | −0.02 | 47 | +0.07 | −0.11 | 1082 | |
| 18 | −0.03 | 50 | +0.05 | −0.14 | 1074 | |
| 19 | −0.03 | 49 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 978 | |
| 20 | −0.05 | 50 | −0.03 | −0.08 | 1000 | |
| 21 | −0.06 | 48 | −0.05 | −0.07 | 1040 | |
| 22 | −0.06 | 49 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 1007 | |
| 23 | −0.06 | 47 | −0.04 | −0.10 | 1078 | |
| 24 | −0.08 | 47 | −0.06 | −0.10 | 1040 | |
| 25 | −0.08 | 49 | −0.05 | −0.12 | 979 | |
| 26 | −0.08 | 49 | −0.13 | −0.01 | 989 | |
| 27 | −0.11 | 46 | −0.08 | −0.14 | 1074 | |
| 28 | −0.11 | 49 | −0.15 | −0.06 | 1027 | |
| 29 | −0.11 | 46 | −0.10 | −0.14 | 1011 | |
| 30 | −0.14 | 47 | −0.18 | −0.08 | 1035 | |
| 31 | −0.14 | 47 | −0.17 | −0.09 | 1069 | |
| 32 | −0.27 | 45 | −0.29 | −0.23 | 1119 |
EPA a play from our own model: how much each play raised or lowered the points a team could expect. Success: the share of plays that added any. Regular season. How it is computed































