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Keel Stats

Efficiency

Expected points added (EPA) per play from our own model: how much each play raised or lowered the points a team could expect, given down, distance, field position and the clock. Success rate: the share of plays that added any. Passes and runs only, regular season.

Leaderboards

Our model: fitted on 2024–25 season, 2025–26 season, 2026–27 season; graded on 2025–26 season, which it never saw, it is off by 3.48 points on average against the next score (a plain average: 3.75).

Teams

Teams
OffenseDefense
BUF−0.07, 1st in the league51−0.01, 10th in the league−0.16, 1st in the league−0.26, 13th in the league48−0.16, 9th in the league−0.39, 25th in the league
LAR−0.07, 2nd in the league53+0.13, 3rd in the league−0.39, 9th in the league−0.21, 19th in the league50−0.01, 23rd in the league−0.50, 10th in the league
GB−0.10, 3rd in the league55+0.06, 4th in the league−0.36, 6th in the league−0.19, 23rd in the league51−0.09, 18th in the league−0.34, 27th in the league
SEA−0.11, 4th in the league50+0.16, 2nd in the league−0.47, 18th in the league−0.12, 29th in the league53+0.09, 28th in the league−0.39, 23rd in the league
KC−0.12, 5th in the league56−0.04, 14th in the league−0.25, 3rd in the league−0.25, 14th in the league52−0.19, 6th in the league−0.36, 26th in the league
TB−0.12, 6th in the league53+0.03, 5th in the league−0.45, 17th in the league−0.30, 9th in the league50−0.15, 11th in the league−0.64, 5th in the league
LAC−0.14, 7th in the league52+0.03, 6th in the league−0.43, 14th in the league−0.19, 22nd in the league53−0.01, 24th in the league−0.40, 19th in the league
MIN−0.15, 8th in the league47+0.02, 7th in the league−0.40, 12th in the league−0.18, 24th in the league52+0.03, 27th in the league−0.50, 11th in the league
ARI−0.15, 9th in the league54−0.10, 18th in the league−0.23, 2nd in the league−0.33, 6th in the league48−0.10, 17th in the league−0.68, 3rd in the league
SF−0.16, 10th in the league51+0.18, 1st in the league−0.55, 27th in the league−0.23, 17th in the league50−0.11, 16th in the league−0.39, 24th in the league
DET−0.17, 11th in the league49−0.03, 13th in the league−0.38, 7th in the league−0.06, 32nd in the league52+0.22, 32nd in the league−0.40, 21st in the league
DEN−0.19, 12th in the league51−0.03, 12th in the league−0.40, 11th in the league−0.20, 20th in the league51−0.14, 12th in the league−0.29, 30th in the league
NE−0.19, 13th in the league500.00, 8th in the league−0.43, 15th in the league−0.43, 2nd in the league49−0.45, 1st in the league−0.40, 20th in the league
CIN−0.21, 14th in the league51−0.02, 11th in the league−0.49, 21st in the league−0.35, 5th in the league50−0.13, 14th in the league−0.70, 2nd in the league
DAL−0.22, 15th in the league53−0.10, 19th in the league−0.38, 8th in the league−0.45, 1st in the league49−0.38, 2nd in the league−0.56, 7th in the league
BAL−0.23, 16th in the league53−0.11, 20th in the league−0.39, 10th in the league−0.23, 15th in the league49−0.12, 15th in the league−0.44, 16th in the league
PIT−0.24, 17th in the league48−0.05, 15th in the league−0.55, 26th in the league−0.23, 16th in the league50−0.25, 4th in the league−0.20, 31st in the league
IND−0.26, 18th in the league51−0.24, 27th in the league−0.28, 4th in the league−0.33, 7th in the league48−0.13, 13th in the league−0.63, 6th in the league
TEN−0.27, 19th in the league51−0.06, 16th in the league−0.54, 24th in the league−0.29, 11th in the league50−0.21, 5th in the league−0.42, 18th in the league
CHI−0.28, 20th in the league49−0.12, 21st in the league−0.48, 19th in the league−0.14, 27th in the league49+0.12, 29th in the league−0.45, 13th in the league
ATL−0.29, 21st in the league49−0.01, 9th in the league−0.73, 31st in the league−0.07, 31st in the league54−0.02, 22nd in the league−0.14, 32nd in the league
PHI−0.29, 22nd in the league51−0.30, 29th in the league−0.29, 5th in the league−0.37, 3rd in the league50−0.16, 10th in the league−0.64, 4th in the league
HOU−0.30, 23rd in the league48−0.13, 22nd in the league−0.55, 25th in the league−0.08, 30th in the league53+0.12, 30th in the league−0.34, 28th in the league
LV−0.31, 24th in the league48−0.09, 17th in the league−0.67, 30th in the league−0.19, 21st in the league50−0.06, 19th in the league−0.39, 22nd in the league
CLE−0.32, 25th in the league50−0.23, 26th in the league−0.42, 13th in the league−0.22, 18th in the league47−0.04, 20th in the league−0.51, 9th in the league
NO−0.32, 26th in the league46−0.16, 23rd in the league−0.50, 22nd in the league−0.29, 10th in the league49−0.18, 8th in the league−0.47, 12th in the league
WSH−0.32, 27th in the league50−0.17, 24th in the league−0.53, 23rd in the league−0.13, 28th in the league52+0.14, 31st in the league−0.53, 8th in the league
JAX−0.35, 28th in the league51−0.19, 25th in the league−0.59, 29th in the league−0.15, 26th in the league52−0.04, 21st in the league−0.30, 29th in the league
MIA−0.36, 29th in the league49−0.31, 30th in the league−0.44, 16th in the league−0.36, 4th in the league48+0.02, 26th in the league−0.94, 1st in the league
CAR−0.41, 30th in the league48−0.36, 31st in the league−0.48, 20th in the league−0.28, 12th in the league48−0.18, 7th in the league−0.44, 17th in the league
NYJ−0.45, 31st in the league48−0.38, 32nd in the league−0.56, 28th in the league−0.17, 25th in the league51+0.02, 25th in the league−0.45, 14th in the league
NYG−0.51, 32nd in the league46−0.28, 28th in the league−0.86, 32nd in the league−0.33, 8th in the league51−0.25, 3rd in the league−0.44, 15th in the league

Players

At least 245 dropbacks

Passing
#
1 Jimmy GaroppoloQB · LAR346+0.2460
2 Matthew StaffordQB · LAR525+0.1658
3 Aaron RodgersQB · PIT461+0.1661
4 Russell WilsonQB · NYG342+0.1154
5 Kirk CousinsQB · LV502+0.0653
6 Josh AllenQB · BUF537+0.0559
7 Justin HerbertQB · LAC611+0.0558
8 Davis MillsQB · HOU354+0.0556
9 Matt RyanQB · IND487+0.0357
10 Teddy BridgewaterQB · TB3800.0059
11 Joe BurrowQB · CIN4270.0058
12 Tom BradyQB · TB609−0.0456
13 Derek CarrQB · NO566−0.0554
14 Patrick MahomesQB · KC592−0.0560
15 Jared GoffQB · DET439−0.0955
16 Lamar JacksonQB · BAL304−0.1055
17 Daniel JonesQB · IND321−0.1154
18 Kyler MurrayQB · MIN421−0.1457
19 Taylor HeinickeQB · LAC445−0.1653
20 Ryan TannehillQB · TEN465−0.1657
21 Carson WentzQB · MIN469−0.2055
22 Dak PrescottQB · DAL503−0.2158
23 Ben RoethlisbergerQB · PIT504−0.2252
24 Mac JonesQB · SF417−0.2256
25 Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX483−0.2355
26 Baker MayfieldQB · TB353−0.2553
27 Justin FieldsQB · KC255−0.2851
28 Sam DarnoldQB · SEA372−0.3453
29 Tua TagovailoaQB · ATL272−0.3554
30 Jalen HurtsQB · PHI370−0.3549
31 Zach WilsonQB · NO301−0.4046