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Keel Stats

NFL prop records: Completions

Each player's record against the line most sportsbooks closed on, game by game: how often he finished over it or under it, and by how much. A game he sat does not count; a push counts in neither rate. A record of what happened, not picks.

Completions, 2026 so far: Jordan Love has gone over his line most often, 5–1 against it (83% of decided games), finishing +2.8 on average; next is Cam Ward (83%). Brock Purdy has gone under most often: 1–5 (83% under), −1.3 on average; then Bo Nix (71%).

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25 players with 6+ graded games in 2026 · 208 lines graded

Most often over: Completions

The players who finished over their Completions line most often, 2026
#
1Jordan LoveGB5–183%+2.822.2
2Cam WardTEN5–183%+1.519.0
3Matthew StaffordLAR5–271%+5.222.4
4Bryce YoungCAR4–267%+1.821.5
5Jacoby BrissettARI4–267%+1.523.3
6Josh AllenBUF4–267%−1.020.3
7Kirk CousinsLV4–357%+1.421.8
8Dak PrescottDAL4–357%+0.823.5
9Drake MayeNE4–357%+0.419.8
10Joe BurrowCIN3–350%+4.524.5

Most often under: Completions

The players who finished under their Completions line most often, 2026
#
1Brock PurdySF1–583%−1.321.0
2Bo NixDEN2–571%−1.921.2
3Geno SmithNYJ2–571%−0.920.5
4Jared GoffDET2–467%−1.523.7
5Trevor LawrenceJAX2–467%−1.520.0
6Malik WillisMIA2–467%−1.216.5
7C.J. StroudHOU2–467%−0.521.3
8Sam DarnoldSEA2–467%+1.219.8
9Daniel JonesIND3–457%+0.120.1
10Michael Penix Jr.ATL3–350%−1.719.3

Every player

10 of 25 shown.

Pro

All 25 players, sortable by over rate, margin and line — with Pro

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The line is the one most sportsbooks closed on (exchanges left out), from our archive of the books' lines. Over and under are shares of the games that went either way. Listed from 6 graded games. Past results: they do not say what comes next.