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Keel Stats

NFL prop records: Receiving yards

Each player's record against the line most sportsbooks closed on, game by game: how often he finished over it or under it, and by how much. A game he sat does not count; a push counts in neither rate. A record of what happened, not picks.

Receiving yards, 2026 so far: Luther Burden III has gone over his line most often, 7–0 against it (100% of decided games), finishing +28.2 on average; next is Brock Bowers (86%). Jaylen Waddle has gone under most often: 0–7 (100% under), −22.8 on average; then Josh Downs (86%).

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121 players with 6+ graded games in 2026 · 1,286 lines graded

Most often over: Receiving yards

The players who finished over their Receiving yards line most often, 2026
#
1Luther Burden IIICHI7–0100%+28.250.2
2Brock BowersLV6–186%+24.169.9
3Rome OdunzeCHI6–186%+22.839.1
4Michael MayerLV6–186%+20.527.1
5Ashton JeantyLV6–186%+18.525.9
6Brenton StrangeJAX5–183%+17.235.5
7Bhayshul TutenJAX5–183%+16.011.0
8Xavier HutchinsonHOU5–183%+15.021.3
9Jaylen WarrenPIT5–183%+14.524.3
10DeMario DouglasNE5–271%+25.632.2

Most often under: Receiving yards

The players who finished under their Receiving yards line most often, 2026
#
1Jaylen WaddleDEN0–7100%−22.850.9
2Josh DownsIND1–686%−15.850.8
3Mark AndrewsBAL1–686%−11.130.9
4Bucky IrvingTB1–686%−5.813.9
5Derrick HenryBAL1–686%−1.87.1
6Dalton KincaidBUF1–583%−15.749.7
7Jake FergusonDAL1–583%−8.723.2
8Kenneth Walker IIIKC1–583%−5.320.8
9Evan EngramDEN2–571%−4.920.5
10Darnell MooneyNYG2–571%−2.817.1

Every player

10 of 121 shown.

Pro

All 121 players, sortable by over rate, margin and line — with Pro

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The line is the one most sportsbooks closed on (exchanges left out), from our archive of the books' lines. Over and under are shares of the games that went either way. Listed from 6 graded games. Past results: they do not say what comes next.