NFL prop records: Passing TDs
Each player's record against the line most sportsbooks closed on, game by game: how often he finished over it or under it, and by how much. A game he sat does not count; a push counts in neither rate. A record of what happened, not picks.
Passing TDs, 2026 so far: Drake Maye has gone over his line most often, 6–1 against it (86% of decided games), finishing +0.9 on average; next is Joe Burrow (83%). Daniel Jones has gone under most often: 1–6 (86% under), −0.5 on average; then Jared Goff (83%).
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25 players with 6+ graded games in 2026 · 208 lines graded
Most often over: Passing TDs
| # | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake MayeNE | 6–1 | 86% | +0.9 | 1.5 |
| 2 | Joe BurrowCIN | 5–1 | 83% | +1.5 | 1.8 |
| 3 | Jordan LoveGB | 5–1 | 83% | +0.7 | 1.5 |
| 4 | Kirk CousinsLV | 5–2 | 71% | +0.5 | 1.5 |
| 5 | C.J. StroudHOU | 4–2 | 67% | +0.8 | 1.5 |
| 6 | Trevor LawrenceJAX | 4–2 | 67% | +0.8 | 1.5 |
| 7 | Aaron RodgersPIT | 4–2 | 67% | +0.5 | 1.5 |
| 8 | Cam WardTEN | 4–2 | 67% | +0.3 | 0.5 |
| 9 | Geno SmithNYJ | 4–3 | 57% | +0.2 | 1.4 |
| 10 | Brock PurdySF | 3–3 | 50% | +0.2 | 1.8 |
Most often under: Passing TDs
| # | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel JonesIND | 1–6 | 86% | −0.5 | 1.1 |
| 2 | Jared GoffDET | 1–5 | 83% | −0.5 | 2.0 |
| 3 | Dak PrescottDAL | 2–5 | 71% | −0.4 | 1.8 |
| 4 | Deshaun WatsonCLE | 2–4 | 67% | −0.5 | 1.2 |
| 5 | Josh AllenBUF | 2–4 | 67% | −0.3 | 1.5 |
| 6 | Justin HerbertLAC | 2–4 | 67% | −0.3 | 1.0 |
| 7 | Michael Penix Jr.ATL | 2–4 | 67% | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| 8 | Tyler ShoughNO | 2–4 | 67% | +0.2 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Bo NixDEN | 3–4 | 57% | −0.2 | 1.5 |
| 10 | Matthew StaffordLAR | 3–4 | 57% | −0.1 | 1.8 |
Every player
10 of 25 shown.
The line is the one most sportsbooks closed on (exchanges left out), from our archive of the books' lines. Over and under are shares of the games that went either way. Listed from 6 graded games. Past results: they do not say what comes next.