Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
MIA 15%OKC 85%
- Expected margin
- OKC by 14.5
- Roster strength tonight
- MIA 0.0 · OKC 0.0
- Result: OKC by 12
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | +9.6 pts |
|---|---|
| Rest (back-to-backs) | +3.3 pts |
| Home court | +1.6 pts |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew WigginsF-G | 37 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 8-16 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -14 |
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 32 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9 |
| Davion MitchellG | 31 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 |
| Tyler HerroG | 27 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 27 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Nikola JovicF | 25 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -10 |
| Dru SmithG | 17 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -15 |
| Kel'el WareC | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
| Simone FontecchioF | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
| Myron GardnerF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
| Keshad JohnsonF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
| Kasparas JakučionisG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
| Terry RozierG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Norman PowellF-G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jahmir YoungG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Vladislav GoldinC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 112 | 37 | 35 | 44-82 | 17-32 | 7-13 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 24 | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet HolmgrenC-F | 32 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 |
| Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG | 32 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +8 |
| Jalen WilliamsG-F | 29 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4 |
| Cason WallaceG | 26 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -12 |
| Luguentz DortG | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3 |
| Ajay MitchellG | 27 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +22 |
| Isaiah JoeG | 19 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +16 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5 |
| Jaylin WilliamsF | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +8 |
| Alex CarusoG | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8 |
| Kenrich WilliamsG-F | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 |
| Branden CarlsonC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
| Ousmane DiengF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Thomas SorberC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Nikola TopicG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Brooks BarnhizerF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Chris YoungbloodG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Isaiah HartensteinF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 124 | 46 | 23 | 47-93 | 10-34 | 20-28 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 18 | |