Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
MIA 59%SAC 41%
- Expected margin
- MIA by 3.2
- Roster strength tonight
- MIA 0.0 · SAC 0.0
- Result: MIA by 13
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | -8.1 pts |
|---|---|
| Rest (back-to-backs) | +3.3 pts |
| Home court | +1.6 pts |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman PowellF-G | 31 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +13 |
| Andrew WigginsF-G | 30 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +12 |
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 30 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 8-15 | 4-5 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +13 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 26 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +10 |
| Davion MitchellG | 20 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +11 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | 33 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5 |
| Nikola JovicF | 19 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
| Simone FontecchioF | 19 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
| Kasparas JakučionisG | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Myron GardnerF | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Terry RozierG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Tyler HerroG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dru SmithG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kel'el WareC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keshad JohnsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jahmir YoungG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Vladislav GoldinC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 130 | 46 | 33 | 47-98 | 21-42 | 15-24 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 13 | |
| Sacramento Kings | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozanG | 35 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -19 |
| Russell WestbrookG | 31 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 9-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -13 |
| Zach LaVineG | 22 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
| Precious AchiuwaF | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9 |
| Maxime RaynaudC | 18 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 |
| Malik MonkG | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 |
| Nique CliffordG | 24 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Dylan CardwellC | 22 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 |
| Dennis SchroderG | 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4 |
| Domantas SabonisF | 17 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
| Doug McDermottF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dario SaricF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Drew EubanksF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keegan MurrayF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keon EllisG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Daeqwon PlowdenG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Isaiah StevensG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Devin CarterG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 117 | 49 | 27 | 44-87 | 11-30 | 18-21 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 20 | |