Miami Heat at Houston Rockets
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
MIA 53%HOU 47%
- Expected margin
- MIA by 0.9
- Roster strength tonight
- MIA 0.0 · HOU 0.0
- Result: HOU by 1
- The projection missed.
| Net rating so far this season | +0.8 pts |
|---|---|
| Rest (back-to-backs) | -3.3 pts |
| Home court | +1.6 pts |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 45 | 32 | 21 | 4 | 12-21 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +5 |
| Tyler HerroG | 39 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12 |
| Simone FontecchioF | 38 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 8-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +17 |
| Davion MitchellG | 37 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 31 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +2 |
| Myron GardnerF | 20 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -15 |
| Kasparas JakučionisG | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
| Dru SmithG | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13 |
| Kel'el WareC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -15 |
| Nikola JovicF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| Andrew WigginsF-G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Terry RozierG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Norman PowellF-G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keshad JohnsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jahmir YoungG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Vladislav GoldinC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Trevor KeelsG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 122 | 41 | 31 | 47-92 | 16-41 | 12-16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 19 | |
| Houston Rockets | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr.F | 40 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -4 |
| Amen ThompsonG-F | 38 | 24 | 18 | 4 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 |
| Reed SheppardG | 37 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +17 |
| Kevin DurantF | 37 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -11 |
| Alperen SengunF-C | 32 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 |
| Tari EasonF | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -9 |
| Dorian Finney-SmithF | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +9 |
| Aaron HolidayG | 13 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +12 |
| Jae'Sean TateF | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
| Josh OkogieG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| JD DavisonG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jeff GreenF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Isaiah CrawfordF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Fred VanVleetG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Clint CapelaC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Steven AdamsC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Tristen NewtonG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 123 | 44 | 33 | 45-86 | 16-35 | 17-21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 16 | |