San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
SAS 58%MIA 42%
- Expected margin
- SAS by 2.9
- Roster strength tonight
- SAS 0.0 · MIA 0.0
- Result: SAS by 25
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | -4.5 pts |
|---|---|
| Home court | +1.6 pts |
| San Antonio Spurs | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron FoxG | 29 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +24 |
| Victor WembanyamaF-C | 26 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 11-22 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +19 |
| Stephon CastleG | 23 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +20 |
| Julian ChampagnieF | 22 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +22 |
| Devin VassellG-F | 21 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12 |
| Dylan HarperG | 25 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +8 |
| Keldon JohnsonF | 24 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +12 |
| Harrison BarnesF | 22 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12 |
| Luke KornetF-C | 19 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +12 |
| Carter BryantF | 18 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 |
| Bismack BiyomboC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
| Kelly OlynykF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 |
| Jordan McLaughlinG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
| Lindy Waters IIIF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
| Harrison IngramF | DNP | |||||||||||
| David JonesF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Mason PlumleeF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Emanuel MillerF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 241 | 136 | 62 | 33 | 48-101 | 15-43 | 25-28 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 18 | |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 29 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 5-17 | 2-10 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -26 |
| Tyler HerroG | 26 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -19 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -23 |
| Davion MitchellG | 22 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -10 |
| Andrew WigginsF-G | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -18 |
| Norman PowellF-G | 30 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -17 |
| Kel'el WareC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -3 |
| Kasparas JakučionisG | 22 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | 19 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -13 |
| Myron GardnerF | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +3 |
| Simone FontecchioF | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| Keshad JohnsonF | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
| Terry RozierG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dru SmithG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Nikola JovicF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jahmir YoungG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Vladislav GoldinC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Trevor KeelsG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 111 | 38 | 29 | 38-95 | 16-52 | 19-20 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 19 | |