Boston Celtics at Miami Heat
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
BOS 57%MIA 43%
- Expected margin
- BOS by 2.6
- Roster strength tonight
- BOS 0.0 · MIA 0.0
- Result: BOS by 18
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | -4.2 pts |
|---|---|
| Home court | +1.6 pts |
| Boston Celtics | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen BrownG | 37 | 43 | 3 | 7 | 17-29 | 4-10 | 5-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +9 |
| Jayson TatumF | 37 | 25 | 18 | 11 | 9-21 | 4-13 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7 |
| Derrick WhiteG | 34 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +6 |
| Neemias QuetaC | 33 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +28 |
| Sam HauserF | 28 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 9-11 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +23 |
| Payton PritchardG | 31 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +20 |
| Baylor ScheiermanG | 18 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +14 |
| Luka GarzaC | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -10 |
| Jordan WalshG | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7 |
| Hugo GonzálezG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Max ShulgaG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron Harper Jr.F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Amari WilliamsF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Nikola VucevicC | DNP | |||||||||||
| John TonjeG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Charles BasseyG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 147 | 48 | 34 | 56-96 | 21-44 | 14-20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler HerroG | 40 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 5-15 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 |
| Davion MitchellG | 40 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7 |
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 38 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 10-21 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -23 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 38 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +7 |
| Andrew WigginsF-G | 32 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -17 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | 30 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -23 |
| Kel'el WareC | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 |
| Simone FontecchioF | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 |
| Dru SmithG | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -18 |
| Terry RozierG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Norman PowellF-G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Nikola JovicF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Myron GardnerF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keshad JohnsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jahmir YoungG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kasparas JakučionisG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Vladislav GoldinC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Trevor KeelsG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 129 | 37 | 27 | 44-95 | 24-47 | 17-23 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | |