Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
MIA 46%TOR 54%
- Expected margin
- TOR by 1.5
- Roster strength tonight
- MIA 0.0 · TOR 0.0
- Result: TOR by 26
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | -0.1 pts |
|---|---|
| Home court | +1.6 pts |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 36 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13 |
| Andrew WigginsF-G | 33 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -24 |
| Tyler HerroG | 30 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -12 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -13 |
| Davion MitchellG | 23 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -25 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | 26 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -12 |
| Norman PowellF-G | 24 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -19 |
| Kel'el WareC | 17 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -9 |
| Kasparas JakučionisG | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Myron GardnerF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| Keshad JohnsonF | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Vladislav GoldinC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| Trevor KeelsG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Terry RozierG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dru SmithG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Nikola JovicF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Simone FontecchioF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jahmir YoungG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 95 | 44 | 26 | 33-91 | 12-44 | 17-19 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | |
| Toronto Raptors | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ BarrettF-G | 31 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +16 |
| Scottie BarnesG-F | 30 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 10-16 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +7 |
| Brandon IngramF | 29 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +11 |
| Jakob PoeltlC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 |
| Immanuel QuickleyG | 18 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2 |
| Ja'Kobe WalterG | 26 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +18 |
| Jamal SheadG | 23 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +27 |
| Sandro MamukelashviliF | 22 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +23 |
| Collin Murray-BoylesF | 20 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +17 |
| Trayce Jackson-DavisF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
| AJ LawsonG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Gradey DickG | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 |
| Jonathan MogboF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Jamison BattleF | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Garrett TempleG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Alijah MartinG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Chucky HepburnG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Tyreke KeyG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 121 | 56 | 34 | 49-99 | 12-28 | 11-16 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 19 | |