San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
SAS 45%DAL 55%
- Expected margin
- DAL by 1.7
- Roster strength tonight
- SAS 0.0 · DAL 0.0
- Result: DAL by 11
- The projection called it.
| Home court | +1.7 pts |
|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison BarnesF | 29 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -12 |
| Chris PaulG | 29 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -21 |
| Victor WembanyamaF-C | 28 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 5-18 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -20 |
| Julian ChampagnieF | 27 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -19 |
| Jeremy SochanF | 27 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -12 |
| Keldon JohnsonF | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -12 |
| Stephon CastleG | 18 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 |
| Tre JonesG | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
| Zach CollinsF-C | 14 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
| Blake WesleyG | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +13 |
| Sandro MamukelashviliF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +10 |
| Malaki BranhamF | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10 |
| Charles BasseyG | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +10 |
| Devin VassellG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Harrison IngramF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Riley MinixF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Sidy CissokoG | DNP | |||||||||||
| David Duke Jr.G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 109 | 52 | 30 | 39-86 | 12-36 | 19-24 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 18 | |
| Dallas Mavericks | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DoncicF-G | 36 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 9-25 | 4-11 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +6 |
| Dereck Lively IIC | 28 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +5 |
| Kyrie IrvingG | 27 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +15 |
| Klay ThompsonG | 26 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 7-13 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +16 |
| P.J. WashingtonF | 26 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 |
| Naji MarshallF | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 |
| Jaden HardyG | 20 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 |
| Daniel GaffordF | 19 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +8 |
| Maxi KleberF | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +18 |
| Quentin GrimesG | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +11 |
| Spencer DinwiddieG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| Dwight PowellF-C | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| Olivier-Maxence ProsperF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| Dante ExumG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Brandon WilliamsG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kessler EdwardsF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Markieff MorrisF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jazian GortmanG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 120 | 50 | 27 | 42-102 | 19-44 | 17-23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 21 | |