Miami Heat at Boston Celtics
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
MIA 27%BOS 73%
- Expected margin
- BOS by 9.1
- Roster strength tonight
- MIA 0.0 · BOS 0.0
- Result: BOS by 19
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | +7.4 pts |
|---|---|
| Home court | +1.7 pts |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | 36 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 9-12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -12 |
| Haywood HighsmithF | 35 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -12 |
| Tyler HerroG | 35 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 6-19 | 2-10 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -17 |
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 33 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -17 |
| Terry RozierG | 22 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -13 |
| Dru SmithG | 21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 20 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -20 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 12 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 |
| Thomas BryantC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 |
| Alec BurksG | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Keshad JohnsonF | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Jimmy ButlerG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Nikola JovicF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kel'el WareC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kevin LoveF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Josh RichardsonG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Josh ChristopherG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 239 | 89 | 44 | 24 | 31-87 | 8-35 | 19-23 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 11 | |
| Boston Celtics | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson TatumF | 36 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 7-21 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +13 |
| Payton PritchardG | 33 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 10-17 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +16 |
| Jaylen BrownG | 31 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 8-21 | 4-11 | 9-10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +23 |
| Derrick WhiteG | 31 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 7-14 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +21 |
| Luke KornetF-C | 27 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +14 |
| Drew PetersonF | 26 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Neemias QuetaC | 15 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +2 |
| Jordan WalshG | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +10 |
| Xavier TillmanF | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 |
| Baylor ScheiermanG | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4 |
| JD DavisonG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
| Jaden SpringerG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
| Al HorfordC-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kristaps PorzingisF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Sam HauserF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jrue HolidayG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Anton WatsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 108 | 54 | 25 | 39-89 | 19-55 | 11-13 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20 | |