Miami Heat at Boston Celtics
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
MIA 21%BOS 79%
- Expected margin
- BOS by 12.0
- Roster strength tonight
- MIA 0.0 · BOS 0.0
- Result: MIA by 21
- The projection missed.
| Net rating so far this season | +10.3 pts |
|---|---|
| Home court | +1.7 pts |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler HerroG | 38 | 25 | 6 | 9 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +19 |
| Davion MitchellG | 34 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +21 |
| Kel'el WareC | 32 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7 |
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 31 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +13 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 30 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +13 |
| Haywood HighsmithF | 26 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +13 |
| Kyle AndersonF | 24 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +17 |
| Alec BurksG | 19 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
| Keshad JohnsonF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
| Isaiah StevensG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
| Josh ChristopherG | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 |
| Andrew WigginsF-G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Terry RozierG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dru SmithG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Nikola JovicF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Duncan RobinsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kevin LoveF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 242 | 124 | 34 | 28 | 43-83 | 14-30 | 24-27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 13 | |
| Boston Celtics | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson TatumF | 32 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 4-17 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 |
| Derrick WhiteG | 31 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -13 |
| Payton PritchardG | 31 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -7 |
| Jaylen BrownG | 29 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 |
| Sam HauserF | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 |
| Luke KornetF-C | 21 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3 |
| Neemias QuetaC | 19 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -15 |
| Torrey CraigF | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -23 |
| Baylor ScheiermanG | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8 |
| JD DavisonG | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6 |
| Drew PetersonF | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 |
| Jordan WalshG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 |
| Al HorfordC-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kristaps PorzingisF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Xavier TillmanF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jrue HolidayG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Miles NorrisF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 103 | 43 | 24 | 39-87 | 12-43 | 13-16 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | |