Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
MIA 36%DAL 64%
- Expected margin
- DAL by 5.4
- Roster strength tonight
- MIA 0.0 · DAL 0.0
- Result: DAL by 5
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | +3.7 pts |
|---|---|
| Home court | +1.7 pts |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion MitchellG | 38 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -11 |
| Tyler HerroG | 37 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 15-30 | 3-14 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -8 |
| Kel'el WareC | 32 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -8 |
| Alec BurksG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| Kyle AndersonF | 27 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +13 |
| Nikola JovicF | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | 23 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +10 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 |
| Haywood HighsmithF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Andrew WigginsF-G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Terry RozierG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Bam AdebayoC-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dru SmithG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keshad JohnsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kevin LoveF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Isaiah StevensG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Josh ChristopherG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 113 | 42 | 23 | 43-91 | 10-36 | 17-26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 14 | |
| Dallas Mavericks | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kessler EdwardsF | 40 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10 |
| Max ChristieG | 39 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 8-19 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +4 |
| Spencer DinwiddieG | 36 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 |
| Naji MarshallF | 33 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Brandon WilliamsG | 25 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +7 |
| Dante ExumG | 24 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 11-13 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +8 |
| Olivier-Maxence ProsperF | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| Jaden HardyG | 19 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4 |
| Kylor KelleyC | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| Kyrie IrvingG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Klay ThompsonG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Anthony DavisF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dwight PowellF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Caleb MartinF | DNP | |||||||||||
| P.J. WashingtonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Daniel GaffordF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dereck Lively IIC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 242 | 118 | 40 | 28 | 46-90 | 13-36 | 13-16 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 17 | |