Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
Final/OT
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
MIA 59%TOR 41%
- Expected margin
- MIA by 3.3
- Roster strength tonight
- MIA 0.0 · TOR 0.0
- Result: MIA by 9
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | -5.0 pts |
|---|---|
| Home court | +1.7 pts |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew WigginsF-G | 42 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +8 |
| Tyler HerroG | 40 | 28 | 3 | 7 | 10-18 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +13 |
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 37 | 19 | 12 | 1 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +3 |
| Nikola JovicF | 35 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +6 |
| Davion MitchellG | 34 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 23 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 |
| Kel'el WareC | 21 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +9 |
| Terry RozierG | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
| Kyle AndersonF | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +4 |
| Alec BurksG | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Haywood HighsmithF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Dru SmithG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Pelle LarssonG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keshad JohnsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kevin LoveF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Isaiah StevensG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Josh ChristopherG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 265 | 120 | 44 | 20 | 46-90 | 13-36 | 15-18 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | |
| Toronto Raptors | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ BarrettF-G | 38 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 11-17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| Immanuel QuickleyG | 38 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 8-21 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -15 |
| Scottie BarnesG-F | 38 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -25 |
| Gradey DickG | 34 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5 |
| Orlando RobinsonC | 31 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| Jonathan MogboF | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -11 |
| Ochai AgbajiG | 18 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 |
| Jamal SheadG | 18 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +4 |
| Ja'Kobe WalterG | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| Chris BoucherF | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6 |
| Garrett TempleG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Brandon IngramF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jakob PoeltlC | DNP | |||||||||||
| AJ LawsonG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jamison BattleF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jared RhodenG | DNP | |||||||||||
| PJ TuckerF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Ulrich ChomcheC | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 265 | 111 | 46 | 25 | 38-91 | 17-43 | 18-23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 19 | |