Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers
Final
Keel projection
How the projections do →Replayed with a fit on another season: the model had not seen this game.
MIA 21%CLE 79%
- Expected margin
- CLE by 11.8
- Roster strength tonight
- MIA 0.0 · CLE 0.0
- Result: CLE by 9
- The projection called it.
| Net rating so far this season | +10.1 pts |
|---|---|
| Home court | +1.7 pts |
| Miami Heat | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam AdebayoC-F | 42 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| Tyler HerroG | 40 | 33 | 6 | 5 | 14-24 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| Davion MitchellG | 36 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 |
| Andrew WigginsF-G | 28 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -9 |
| Haywood HighsmithF | 27 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 |
| Nikola JovicF | 25 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 |
| Kel'el WareC | 19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -17 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -9 |
| Terry RozierG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.G | DNP | |||||||||||
| Keshad JohnsonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kevin LoveF-C | DNP | |||||||||||
| Kyle AndersonF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Alec BurksG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 240 | 112 | 38 | 27 | 42-81 | 16-45 | 12-16 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 19 | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan MitchellG | 36 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 10-21 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +4 |
| Evan MobleyF-C | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5 |
| Darius GarlandG | 32 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
| Jarrett AllenC | 31 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
| Max StrusG | 26 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| De'Andre HunterF | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12 |
| Ty JeromeG | 23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +10 |
| Sam MerrillG | 20 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +12 |
| Isaac OkoroF-G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1 |
| Dean WadeF | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6 |
| Craig PorterG | DNP | |||||||||||
| Jaylon TysonG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Javonte GreenG-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Chuma OkekeF | DNP | |||||||||||
| Tristan ThompsonC-F | DNP | |||||||||||
| Team | 241 | 121 | 34 | 24 | 39-82 | 22-45 | 21-23 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 13 | |