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NFL power rankings 2026: Week 4

Going into week 4, the Jaguars are first, the 49ers second and the Chiefs third.Every team ranked from our own numbers going into each week, each number weighted by how well it foretold the rest of past seasons. A ranking from data, never a pick.

NFL power rankings 2026, week 4
1Up 8 places since last weekJAX1st in recent form2-1
+0.1802nd+0.2591st+15.32nd.66710th+0.01611th
2Down 1 place since last weekSF1st in point difference3-0
+0.0807th+0.1875th+16.01st1.0005th−0.01717th
3Same place as last weekKC2nd in recent form3-0
+0.0976th+0.2592nd+12.73rd1.0002nd−0.00916th
4Up 6 places since last weekCHI4th in point difference2-1
+0.0738th+0.1904th+12.04th.66715th−0.00615th
5Down 1 place since last weekMIN4th in win percentage3-0
+0.01415th+0.04213th+10.06th1.0004th+0.01612th
6Down 1 place since last weekLV3rd in win percentage3-0
−0.14330th+0.1257th+11.35th1.0003rd−0.05929th
7Up 1 place since last weekBUF1st in win percentage3-0
+0.1095th+0.1446th+7.78th1.0001st+0.0277th
8Down 6 places since last weekSEA1st in net EPA2-1
+0.1981st+0.2443rd+8.37th.66716th−0.02721st
9Down 2 places since last weekCIN6th in win percentage2-1
−0.01318th+0.1248th+5.79th.6676th+0.00514th
10Up 1 place since last weekBAL7th in win percentage2-1
+0.02714th+0.06610th+4.710th.6677th−0.02720th
11Up 7 places since last weekDEN1st in strength of schedule2-1
+0.04412th−0.13628th−3.319th.66711th+0.1461st
12Up 1 place since last weekCAR12th in point difference1-2
−0.08325th+0.01214th+2.012th.33325th−0.02519th
13Up 2 places since last weekDAL11th in point difference1-2
−0.04722nd−0.00515th+2.011th.33320th−0.03926th
14Up 2 places since last weekLAR3rd in net EPA1-2
+0.1633rd+0.06111th−0.715th.33323rd+0.02210th
15Down 9 places since last weekNE2nd in strength of schedule1-2
+0.1164th−0.13026th−5.021st.33317th+0.1252nd
16Down 2 places since last weekNYJ12th in recent form1-2
−0.16231st+0.04212th+1.013th.33318th−0.06030th
17Up 3 places since last weekPIT8th in win percentage2-1
−0.00417th−0.03116th−2.317th.6678th+0.0229th
18Down 6 places since last weekNO16th in point difference1-2
−0.06324th−0.04918th−0.716th.33326th−0.02318th
19Up 2 places since last weekDET9th in recent form2-1
+0.04711th+0.0669th−0.714th.66714th−0.03925th
20Down 3 places since last weekARI3rd in strength of schedule1-2
−0.11329th−0.08122nd−6.026th.33324th+0.0883rd
21Up 5 places since last weekWSH4th in strength of schedule1-2
−0.08526th−0.11625th−5.723rd.33321st+0.0674th
22Up 5 places since last weekIND5th in strength of schedule1-2
+0.02913th−0.13627th−6.327th.33319th+0.0575th
23Down 1 place since last weekNYG13th in win percentage2-1
−0.05823rd−0.03617th−3.018th.66713th−0.03824th
24Down 1 place since last weekCLE8th in strength of schedule2-1
−0.11228th−0.07121st−5.722nd.6679th+0.0228th
+0.04810th−0.14629th−7.028th.00029th+0.0426th
26Up 6 places since last weekATL20th in recent form1-2
−0.03621st−0.06920th−5.724th.33327th−0.02822nd
27Down 3 places since last weekTB19th in recent form0-3
−0.02920th−0.06519th−5.725th.00032nd−0.03723rd
28Down 9 places since last weekPHI9th in net EPA2-1
+0.0509th−0.08424th−4.720th.66712th−0.08132nd
−0.23132nd−0.21332nd−7.329th.00030th−0.05728th
30Same place as last weekLAC19th in net EPA0-3
−0.01419th−0.19031st−10.730th.00031st−0.04927th
31Down 3 places since last weekGB16th in net EPA1-2
+0.00416th−0.08323rd−11.731st.33322nd−0.06131st
32Down 1 place since last weekMIA13th in strength of schedule0-3
−0.10027th−0.16830th−16.732nd.00028th+0.01113th

What the ranking weighs: point difference 80%, strength of schedule 20%.

A week's ranking reads only the regular-season games played before its first kick-off, so it never changes once it is out. Each number is set against the league's average and spread, then weighted; the weights are the ones that best matched the rest of past seasons, checked on seasons they were not fitted on.

Results through September 28, 2026.