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NFL power rankings 2026: Week 5

Going into week 5, the 49ers are first, the Jaguars second and the Bears third.Every team ranked from our own numbers going into each week, each number weighted by how well it foretold the rest of past seasons. A ranking from data, never a pick.

NFL power rankings 2026, week 5
1Up 1 place since last weekSF1st in point difference4-0
+0.0827th+0.1645th+14.51st1.0003rd−0.00917th
2Down 1 place since last weekJAX1st in recent form3-1
+0.1842nd+0.2531st+12.82nd.7507th+0.00414th
3Up 1 place since last weekCHI3rd in point difference3-1
+0.0798th+0.1783rd+11.83rd.75010th−0.04329th
4Down 1 place since last weekKC1st in win percentage4-0
+0.0826th+0.1744th+10.34th1.0001st−0.04026th
5Same place as last weekMIN2nd in win percentage4-0
+0.02815th+0.07810th+8.85th1.0002nd−0.01318th
6Up 2 places since last weekSEA1st in net EPA3-1
+0.1871st+0.1992nd+8.06th.75011th−0.03124th
7Same place as last weekBUF4th in win percentage3-1
+0.1025th+0.1146th+5.08th.7504th+0.0466th
8Down 2 places since last weekLV7th in point difference3-1
−0.12629th+0.1087th+7.87th.7508th−0.03225th
−0.03221st+0.03413th+3.010th.50013th+0.0465th
10Up 2 places since last weekCAR11th in point difference2-2
−0.07524th+0.01115th+3.011th.50022nd+0.00513th
11Up 2 places since last weekDAL12th in point difference2-2
−0.05323rd−0.03318th+2.512th.50018th−0.00716th
12Down 2 places since last weekBAL5th in win percentage3-1
+0.03911th+0.0909th+5.09th.7505th−0.08232nd
13Up 1 place since last weekLAR3rd in net EPA2-2
+0.1653rd+0.0948th+0.515th.50021st+0.0307th
14Up 1 place since last weekNE2nd in strength of schedule2-2
+0.1104th−0.08823rd−3.020th.50012th+0.1152nd
15Up 7 places since last weekIND8th in strength of schedule2-2
+0.03812th−0.06721st−0.516th.50015th+0.0208th
16Down 5 places since last weekDEN1st in strength of schedule2-2
+0.03313th−0.12228th−5.023rd.50016th+0.1281st
17Up 9 places since last weekATL13th in point difference2-2
−0.00717th+0.02614th+1.013th.50023rd−0.04127th
18Up 5 places since last weekNYG9th in win percentage3-1
−0.02320th+0.06511th+0.814th.7509th−0.06131st
19Down 2 places since last weekPIT14th in win percentage2-2
−0.01218th−0.04920th−2.519th.50014th−0.00615th
20Up 4 places since last weekCLE6th in win percentage3-1
−0.09427th−0.02917th−3.521st.7506th+0.01610th
21Down 5 places since last weekNYJ16th in recent form1-3
−0.15631st+0.01016th−2.017th.25024th−0.02422nd
22Down 3 places since last weekDET10th in net EPA2-2
+0.04310th+0.05112th−2.018th.50019th−0.05430th
23Up 5 places since last weekPHI14th in net EPA2-2
+0.03014th−0.11225th−4.522nd.50017th−0.01820th
24Down 4 places since last weekARI3rd in strength of schedule1-3
−0.12930th−0.13729th−7.528th.25026th+0.0573rd
25Same place as last weekHOU9th in net EPA0-4
+0.0479th−0.09924th−6.326th.00029th+0.01411th
26Up 1 place since last weekTB21st in strength of schedule0-4
−0.03422nd−0.07022nd−5.024th.00032nd−0.02221st
27Down 9 places since last weekNO19th in strength of schedule1-3
−0.08625th−0.12127th−5.825th.25027th−0.01319th
28Down 7 places since last weekWSH4th in strength of schedule1-3
−0.08926th−0.12026th−8.530th.25025th+0.0514th
−0.22832nd−0.20732nd−7.027th.00030th−0.02823rd
−0.01719th−0.15530th−9.831st.00031st+0.00812th
31Same place as last weekGB16th in net EPA2-2
+0.01016th−0.04419th−8.029th.50020th−0.04228th
−0.10628th−0.16831st−13.832nd.00028th+0.0169th

What the ranking weighs: point difference 80%, strength of schedule 20%.

A week's ranking reads only the regular-season games played before its first kick-off, so it never changes once it is out. Each number is set against the league's average and spread, then weighted; the weights are the ones that best matched the rest of past seasons, checked on seasons they were not fitted on.

Results through October 5, 2026.